Question

Difficulty: HardCause-and-Effect Relationships

In the Arctic tundra, permafrost—soil that remains frozen year-round—acts as a massive carbon sink, locking away the decomposed remains of ancient vegetation. However, rising global temperatures have initiated a feedback loop that threatens to accelerate warming. As the atmosphere warms, the upper layers of permafrost begin to thaw. This thawing exposes long-dormant organic matter to microbial decomposition. In saturated, oxygen-depleted soils, anaerobic microbes digest the organic material, producing methane gas (CH4CH_4), a greenhouse gas significantly more potent than carbon dioxide at trapping heat in the short term. The released methane escapes into the atmosphere, where it absorbs thermal radiation that would otherwise escape into space. This trapped heat further raises global temperatures, which in turn hastens the thawing of deeper permafrost layers. Consequently, what began as a localized thawing process transforms into a self-reinforcing global climatic driver, demonstrating how minor shifts in high-latitude soil stability can propagate widespread environmental changes.

Based on the passage, arrange the following events in the correct causal sequence, starting with the initial climatic trigger and ending with the self-reinforcing feedback effect.

  1. 1Rising global temperatures cause the upper layers of Arctic permafrost to thaw.
  2. 2Long-dormant organic material in the thawed soil is exposed to decomposition.
  3. 3Anaerobic microbes decompose the organic matter and produce methane gas.
  4. 4Methane gas escapes into the atmosphere and absorbs outgoing thermal radiation.
  5. 5Global temperatures rise further, accelerating the thaw of deeper permafrost layers.

Answer

The correct sequence begins with the thawing of the upper permafrost layer caused by rising global temperatures. This thawing exposes organic matter to anaerobic microbes, which decompose it and generate methane gas. The released methane then accumulates in the atmosphere and traps thermal radiation, which ultimately drives further warming and deeper permafrost thawing.
The correct sequence mirrors the causal chain outlined in the passage: global warming thaws the permafrost, exposing organic matter, which anaerobic microbes digest to produce methane. The methane is released into the atmosphere, trapping thermal radiation and causing further warming that thaws deeper permafrost layers.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the initial cause in the chain.
The initial trigger is rising global temperatures thawing the upper layers of permafrost.
The passage states that rising global temperatures initiate the loop by causing the upper layers of permafrost to thaw.
2
Determine the direct consequence of the permafrost thawing.
Long-dormant organic material becomes exposed to microbial decomposition.
According to the passage, the thawing exposes long-dormant organic matter to microbial decomposition.
3
Identify the biological process that follows the exposure of organic material.
Anaerobic microbes digest the material, producing methane gas.
The passage describes anaerobic microbes decomposing the material in saturated soils, which produces methane.
4
Follow the path of the produced methane.
Methane escapes to the atmosphere and absorbs thermal radiation.
The passage notes that the released methane escapes into the atmosphere and absorbs heat that would otherwise escape into space.
5
Identify the final feedback effect of the trapped radiation.
Atmospheric temperatures rise further, causing deeper permafrost thawing.
The trapped heat increases global temperatures, which closes the loop by thawing deeper permafrost layers.

Key Concept

Identifying a multi-step causal chain (feedback loop) in a scientific reading passage.
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