Question

Difficulty: HardBasic Probability and Counting Methods

A high school student council must select a 3-member executive committee consisting of a President, a Vice President, and a Treasurer from a group of 6 juniors and 4 seniors. If the positions are filled sequentially at random and no student can hold more than one position, what is the probability that the President is a senior, the Vice President is a junior, and the Treasurer is a senior?

  1. 110\frac{1}{10}Answer
  2. B
    310\frac{3}{10}
  3. C
    215\frac{2}{15}
  4. D
    12125\frac{12}{125}
  5. E
    17120\frac{17}{120}

Answer

The probability that the President is a senior, the Vice President is a junior, and the Treasurer is a senior is 110\frac{1}{10}.
To find the probability of dependent sequential events, multiply the probability of each event given that the preceding events have occurred. First, selecting a senior President has a probability of 410\frac{4}{10}. Next, selecting a junior Vice President from the remaining 9 students has a probability of 69\frac{6}{9}. Finally, selecting another senior as Treasurer from the remaining 8 students (which now contains 3 seniors) has a probability of 38\frac{3}{8}. Multiplying these probabilities yields 410×69×38=72720=110\frac{4}{10} \times \frac{6}{9} \times \frac{3}{8} = \frac{72}{720} = \frac{1}{10}.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Determine the probability of choosing a senior as President.
There are 4 seniors out of 10 total students, so P(President is Senior)=410P(\text{President is Senior}) = \frac{4}{10}.
The first selection is made from the full group of 10 students.
2
Determine the probability of choosing a junior as Vice President given the first event.
There are 6 juniors remaining out of 9 total remaining students, so P(VP is JuniorPresident is Senior)=69P(\text{VP is Junior} \mid \text{President is Senior}) = \frac{6}{9}.
One student (a senior) has already been selected, reducing the total count to 9.
3
Determine the probability of choosing a senior as Treasurer given the first two events.
There are 3 seniors remaining out of 8 total remaining students, so P(Treasurer is Seniorfirst two selections)=38P(\text{Treasurer is Senior} \mid \text{first two selections}) = \frac{3}{8}.
Two students have now been selected, leaving 8 total students and 3 remaining seniors.
4
Multiply the sequential conditional probabilities together.
410×69×38=72720=110\frac{4}{10} \times \frac{6}{9} \times \frac{3}{8} = \frac{72}{720} = \frac{1}{10}.
According to the Multiplication Rule for Dependent Events, the joint probability is the product of the sequential probabilities.

Key Concept

Probability of Dependent Compound Events
Estimated Time:1m 30s
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