Question

Difficulty: MediumConditional Probability

A laboratory tested 200200 synthetic compound samples for two properties: thermal stability and chemical resistance. Among the samples, 120120 exhibited thermal stability, 9090 exhibited chemical resistance, and 5050 exhibited neither property. If a sample is selected at random from those that exhibited thermal stability, what is the probability that it also exhibited chemical resistance?

Answer: 0.5

Answer

0.5
The conditional probability of selecting a sample with chemical resistance given that it has thermal stability is found by dividing the number of samples with both properties (6060) by the total number of samples with thermal stability (120120), giving 60120=0.5\frac{60}{120} = 0.5.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Find the total number of samples exhibiting at least one of the two properties.
Since 5050 out of 200200 samples exhibited neither property, the number of samples exhibiting at least one property is 20050=150200 - 50 = 150.
The total population consists of samples exhibiting at least one property plus samples exhibiting neither property.
2
Calculate the number of samples exhibiting both thermal stability (TT) and chemical resistance (CC).
Using the inclusion-exclusion principle TC=T+CTC|T \cup C| = |T| + |C| - |T \cap C|, we have 150=120+90TC150 = 120 + 90 - |T \cap C|, which yields TC=60|T \cap C| = 60.
Overlapping sets require subtracting the intersection to avoid double-counting elements.
3
Compute the conditional probability P(CT)P(C|T).
P(CT)=TCT=60120=0.5P(C|T) = \frac{|T \cap C|}{|T|} = \frac{60}{120} = 0.5.
The given condition restricts the sample space to only the 120120 samples exhibiting thermal stability.

Key Concept

Conditional probability restricts the sample space to the given condition's outcome space: P(AB)=ABBP(A|B) = \frac{|A \cap B|}{|B|}.
Estimated Time:1m 30s
Rate this question