Question

Difficulty: MediumIdentifying Unstated Assumptions

Consider the following argument:
A commercial pharmaceutical company plans to transition its temperature-sensitive vaccine shipments from refrigerated delivery trucks to insulated containers cooled by solid carbon dioxide (dry ice). Company executives calculate that because dry ice maintains low temperatures without drawing power from vehicle engines, fuel consumption per delivery truck will drop by 12%. They conclude that adopting these dry-ice containers will reduce the company's total carbon emissions from vaccine distribution.

Statement: The carbon emissions produced during the industrial manufacturing and supply of the dry ice will not exceed the carbon emissions saved by the reduction in truck fuel consumption.

Answer: Answer

Answer

True. The statement represents a necessary assumption because if dry ice manufacturing emissions exceed the fuel emission savings, the overall carbon emissions from vaccine distribution would increase, destroying the argument's conclusion.
The argument relies on a scope shift from vehicle fuel emissions to total distribution emissions. To bridge this gap, the process of supplying dry ice must not generate more carbon emissions than the vehicle fuel savings eliminate. Applying the Negation Test confirms that if dry ice production emissions exceed fuel savings, the conclusion fails completely.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the argument's premise and conclusion.
Premise: Dry-ice containers reduce truck fuel consumption by 12% by eliminating the engine power draw of refrigeration units. Conclusion: Adopting dry-ice containers will reduce total carbon emissions from vaccine distribution.
Understanding the precise gap between the premise (truck fuel emissions) and the conclusion (total distribution emissions) is essential for identifying unstated assumptions.
2
Apply the Negation Test to the statement.
Negated Statement: The carbon emissions produced during dry ice manufacturing and supply WILL exceed the emissions saved by reduced truck fuel consumption.
If the negated version of a statement causes the argument's conclusion to logically collapse, that statement is a necessary assumption.
3
Evaluate the impact of the negated statement on the conclusion.
If manufacturing emissions exceed fuel savings, net carbon emissions increase, making it impossible to reduce total distribution emissions.
Since the negated statement invalidates the conclusion, the original statement MUST be true for the argument to hold.

Key Concept

Negation Test for Unstated Assumptions
Rate this question