Question

Difficulty: HardAnalyzing Bolded Statement Roles

Historians analyzing the decline of ancient Silk Road trading oases have traditionally held that the emergence of maritime trade routes rendered overland silk transport economically obsolete. However, recent tree-ring data from timbers used in oasis fortresses indicates that structural maintenance of these outposts continued unabated for over a century after maritime routes were fully established. Furthermore, records of regional toll collection demonstrate that overland traffic volume remained stable until a series of severe desiccation events dried up local glacial tributaries. The loss of local water supplies deprived these oases of the agricultural self-sufficiency required to resupply passing caravans. Therefore, the expansion of maritime trade was not the primary cause of the oases' downfall; rather, localized environmental collapse dismantled the overland network.

In the argument given, the two bolded portions play which of the following roles?

  1. The first is a position that the argument seeks to refute; the second is an intermediate conclusion offered in support of the argument's main conclusion.Answer
  2. B
    The first is a claim that the argument accepts as true; the second is the main conclusion of the argument.
  3. C
    The first is a position that the argument opposes; the second is the main conclusion of the argument.
  4. D
    The first is background information supporting the author's overall position; the second is evidence that undermines the author's main conclusion.
  5. E
    The first is a hypothesis that the author supports; the second is a factual finding that challenges that hypothesis.

Answer

The correct answer states that the first bolded portion is a position that the argument seeks to refute, and the second is an intermediate conclusion offered in support of the argument's main conclusion.
The correct option accurately captures the argument's structure. The author introduces the traditional view—that maritime trade caused the decline—only to refute it with evidence about fortress maintenance and toll records. Thus, the first bolded statement is a position the argument seeks to refute. The second bolded statement connects the premise about dried-up tributaries to the overall downfall, functioning as an intermediate conclusion that leads to the author's final conclusion.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the main conclusion and the author's overall stance.
The main conclusion is found in the final sentence: 'Therefore, the expansion of maritime trade was not the primary cause of the oases' downfall; rather, localized environmental collapse dismantled the overland network.' The author contends that environmental collapse, not maritime trade competition, caused the decline.
Determining the main conclusion provides the reference point needed to evaluate the function of all other statements in the argument.
2
Analyze the function of the first bolded statement.
The first bolded statement ('the emergence of maritime trade routes rendered overland silk transport economically obsolete') is introduced as a traditional historical belief that the author opposes using counter-evidence.
Understanding contrast words like 'However' helps establish that the author rejects this initial statement.
3
Analyze the function of the second bolded statement.
The statement ('The loss of local water supplies deprived these oases of the agricultural self-sufficiency required to resupply passing caravans') interprets the factual evidence regarding dried-up tributaries. It explains how that physical evidence led to economic failure, which directly supports the main conclusion.
Since it is a claim derived from premise evidence that further justifies the final conclusion, it acts as an intermediate (subsidiary) conclusion.

Key Concept

Analyzing Bolded Statement Roles
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