Question

Difficulty: MediumStrengthening Arguments

Marine biologists studying migratory blue whales observed a significant increase in whale calf survival rates in the North Atlantic over the past decade. The researchers hypothesized that strict international regulations limiting commercial ship speeds in feeding zones caused this increase by reducing lethal vessel strikes. However, critics claim that ocean warming altered krill distribution, concentrating prey in protected zones where whales naturally feed away from major shipping lanes.

Which of the following statements, if true, provide support for the researchers' hypothesis regarding the cause of the increased calf survival rates? Select all that apply.

  1. Acoustic tracking data shows that during the decade, vessel traffic volume remained constant, but average ship speeds decreased by 40 percent following regulation, coinciding directly with a sharp drop in documented calf collision injuries.Answer
  2. Satellite surveys revealed that krill density in non-regulated ocean zones increased at identical rates to krill density within the protected feeding zones over the ten-year period.Answer
  3. C
    Necropsy reports from washed-up whale calves during the decade indicated that malnourished calves were significantly more susceptible to vessel strikes than well-nourished calves.
  4. D
    Commercial shipping companies operating in the North Atlantic reported higher operational costs due to increased fuel consumption required to comply with speed limits.
  5. E
    The implementation of ship speed regulations coincided with a regional moratorium on commercial fishing gear that significantly lowered calf entanglement rates.

Answer

The statements confirming a direct drop in collision injuries following speed reduction and demonstrating identical krill density across both regulated and unregulated zones both strengthen the researchers' hypothesis.
The researchers hypothesize that speed limits directly caused higher calf survival by preventing lethal ship strikes, while critics argue that krill shifts drew whales away from shipping lanes. The statement establishing that collision injuries dropped sharply after speed limits were introduced directly confirms the causal link between regulations and calf safety. The statement showing uniform krill growth across both regulated and unregulated waters refutes the critics' counter-hypothesis by demonstrating that prey distribution did not selectively concentrate whales away from shipping lanes. Together, these statements reinforce the primary argument.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Blue whale calf survival rates increased after ship speed regulations were enacted in feeding zones. Counter-argument: Ocean warming shifted krill distribution, drawing whales away from shipping lanes. Conclusion/Hypothesis: Speed limits caused the survival increase by reducing fatal vessel strikes.
Identifying the target hypothesis and competing counter-explanation is necessary to evaluate which statements support the hypothesis.
2
Evaluate statements for direct causal reinforcement or elimination of alternative causes
The statement documenting a sharp drop in collision injuries following speed reductions provides direct evidence of the hypothesized mechanism. The statement showing equal krill growth across regulated and unregulated zones refutes the alternative explanation that prey redistribution accounted for the survival change.
Strengthening an argument can occur either by providing direct empirical support for the mechanism or by ruling out plausible alternative causes.
3
Eliminate unsupportive or confounding statements
Statements introducing confounding causes (fishing gear moratorium), supporting nutritional vulnerability, or detailing shipping costs do not strengthen the specific hypothesis that speed regulations reduced vessel strikes.
Confounding factors weaken causal claims, while financial costs are logically irrelevant to the biological outcome.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments by Confirming Causal Mechanisms and Eliminating Alternative Explanations
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