Question

Difficulty: Very hardDevelopment Planning Strategies and Models

An economy operating under a medium-term development plan targets an annual real GDP growth rate of 8%8\%. If the country's incremental capital-output ratio (ICOR) is estimated at 44 and the current domestic savings rate is 18%18\% of GDP, what is the domestic savings gap (additional savings rate required) to achieve the target growth rate according to the Harrod-Domar growth model?

  1. 14%14\%Answer
  2. B
    2%2\%
  3. C
    32%32\%
  4. D
    50%50\%

Answer

The domestic savings gap required to achieve the targeted growth rate is 14%14\%.
According to the Harrod-Domar growth model, economic growth (gg) is determined by the savings ratio (ss) divided by the incremental capital-output ratio (kk), expressed as g=skg = \frac{s}{k}. Rearranging to find total required savings gives s=g×k=8%×4=32%s = g \times k = 8\% \times 4 = 32\%. Since the economy currently saves 18%18\% of GDP, the additional savings required to fulfill the plan (the savings gap) is 32%18%=14%32\% - 18\% = 14\%.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the given variables in the Harrod-Domar growth model formula.
Target growth rate (gg) = 8%8\%, Incremental Capital-Output Ratio (kk) = 44, Current domestic savings rate (scurrents_{current}) = 18%18\%.
The Harrod-Domar model states that the economic growth rate g=skg = \frac{s}{k}, where ss is the total required national savings rate and kk is the ICOR.
2
Calculate the total required savings rate (srequireds_{required}).
srequired=g×k=8%×4=32%s_{required} = g \times k = 8\% \times 4 = 32\%.
To generate an 8%8\% growth rate given that 44 units of capital produce 11 unit of output, total savings must equal 32%32\% of GDP.
3
Compute the domestic savings gap.
Savings Gap = srequiredscurrent=32%18%=14%s_{required} - s_{current} = 32\% - 18\% = 14\%.
The savings gap measures the shortfall between total required investment/savings and currently available domestic savings.

Key Concept

Harrod-Domar Growth Model and Savings Gap Calculation
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