Question

Difficulty: MediumFlaw in the Reasoning

Plant Physiologist: Whenever an alpine coniferous forest experiences severe drought stress during the early growing season, the concentration of abscisic acid in the foliage of those conifers rises significantly. Foliar chemical assays conducted on mature spruce stands across the northern mountain range this spring revealed elevated concentrations of abscisic acid. Therefore, these northern spruce stands must have endured severe drought stress during this spring's early growing season.

The reasoning in the plant physiologist's argument is flawed because the argument

  1. A
    disputes the accuracy of the foliar chemical assays without citing empirical data to contradict the laboratory findings
  2. B
    draws a sweeping generalization about an entire forest ecosystem based solely on observations of a single, non-representative plant species
  3. infers that a specific environmental stressor occurred merely from the presence of a physiological marker that the stressor is known to produceAnswer
  4. D
    mistakes an intermediate finding concerning foliar hormone levels for the primary conclusion of the investigation
  5. E
    overlooks the possibility that conifers in high-altitude environments never exhibit baseline levels of abscisic acid under normal conditions

Answer

The argument is flawed because it concludes that a particular cause was present simply because an effect associated with that cause was observed.
The argument establishes that early severe drought stress leads to elevated abscisic acid in conifers. However, discovering elevated abscisic acid only proves that the outcome occurred; it does not establish that drought stress was the only possible cause. The author erroneously concludes that drought stress must have occurred, committing the fallacy of affirming the consequent.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the premises and the conclusion in the stimulus
Premise 1 establishes that severe drought stress triggers elevated abscisic acid. Premise 2 states that elevated abscisic acid was detected in the spruce stands. Conclusion asserts that the spruce stands must have endured severe drought stress.
Deconstructing the argument into its core components isolates the logical jump between evidence and claim.
2
Analyze the formal relationship between the conditional rule and the evidence
The rule is structured as: Drought Stress -> Elevated Abscisic Acid. The argument notes the presence of Elevated Abscisic Acid and illicitly concludes Drought Stress.
This is a classic conditional reversal (affirming the consequent), where the argument treats a sufficient indicator as an exclusive requirement.
3
Match the identified flaw with the correct answer description
The statement describing the inference of a specific environmental stressor solely from the presence of a physiological marker accurately captures this logical error.
Abstracting the concrete terms (drought and hormone level) into logical roles confirms the structural validity of the correct choice.

Key Concept

Conditional Reversal (Affirming the Consequent)
Estimated Time:1m 15s
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