Question

Difficulty: MediumWeaken

Agricultural Scientist: Vineyards in the Aris Valley that planted crimson clover between vine rows experienced a 40 percent lower incidence of grapevine leafroll virus than vineyards maintaining bare soil. Because crimson clover attracts predatory lady beetles that feed voraciously on mealybugs, which are the sole vectors of leafroll virus, the clover reduces viral infection specifically by suppressing the mealybug population.

Statement: If true, the discovery that vineyards with crimson clover maintained average mealybug densities per vine identical to those in bare-soil vineyards weakens the agricultural scientist's argument.

Answer: Answer

Answer

True, because evidence showing unchanged mealybug populations directly undermines the author's claim that clover reduces viral disease specifically by suppressing mealybug numbers.
The correct assessment is True because the scientist's conclusion specifically attributes the disease reduction to the suppression of mealybug populations. If clover vineyards had the exact same density of mealybugs as bare-soil vineyards, the reduction in disease transmission must be due to some other factor, thereby directly undermining the scientist's explanatory hypothesis.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the argument's premises and main conclusion
Premises: Clover vineyards had 40% less leafroll virus than bare-soil vineyards; clover attracts lady beetles that eat virus-carrying mealybugs. Main conclusion: Clover reduces viral infection specifically by suppressing mealybug populations.
Weaken questions require isolating the exact claim the author attempts to prove.
2
Analyze the causal mechanism connecting the premises to the conclusion
The author assumes that attracting lady beetles actually succeeded in reducing the mealybug population, which in turn reduced disease transmission.
Attacking the proposed intermediary mechanism is a standard way to weaken a causal argument.
3
Evaluate the impact of the supplementary statement
If mealybug densities were identical in both groups of vineyards, lady beetle predation did not decrease vector density, falsifying the claimed mechanism of action.
Showing that the hypothesized mechanism did not occur undermines the specific conclusion drawn.

Key Concept

Undermining a causal conclusion by providing evidence that the proposed causal mechanism did not occur.
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