University administrator: To determine how our alumni feel about the recent shift toward online-only summer courses, we analyzed responses from our annual donor satisfaction survey, which was mailed exclusively to alumni who contributed $500 or more to the university last year. Over 80 percent of respondents indicated they strongly support the shift. Therefore, it is clear that the overwhelming majority of our alumni favor the transition to online-only summer courses.
Which one of the following most accurately describes a flaw in the university administrator's reasoning?
- Afails to distinguish between the proportion of respondents who hold a particular view and the absolute number of people who hold that view
- Btakes for granted that because two characteristics frequently occur together, one must be the cause of the other
- generalizes about the attitudes of an entire group based on the opinions of a subset that is likely unrepresentativeAnswer
- Dincorrectly infers that because a specific attitude is prevalent among a group as a whole, it must be shared by every individual member of that group
- Etreats evidence showing that a claim is true of most members of a group as if it showed the claim to be true of all members of the group
Answer
The correct answer is the option stating that the argument generalizes about an entire group based on an unrepresentative subset.
The correct answer accurately diagnoses the sampling bias in the argument. The administrator is trying to draw a conclusion about the entire alumni population, but uses evidence derived exclusively from a highly specific, non-random subset: alumni who donated at least $500. This group is likely to be systematically different from the broader alumni base (e.g., they may be wealthier, older, or more supportive of the administration's decisions in general), making the sample fundamentally unrepresentative.
Step-by-Step Solution
Key Concept
Unrepresentative Sample / Survey Bias
Estimated Time:1m 30s