Question

Difficulty: MediumSystematic and Market Risks

An investor holds a portfolio exclusively composed of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds and is concerned about the impact of unexpected surges in national inflation over a ten-year holding period. Which statement correctly identifies the systematic risk facing this investor and explains why diversification fails to eliminate it?

  1. The portfolio primarily faces purchasing power risk, which cannot be eliminated through diversification because inflation broadly degrades the real purchasing power of fixed cash flows across the entire economy.Answer
  2. B
    The portfolio primarily faces default risk, which can be eliminated by reallocating funds into high-grade corporate bonds across diverse market sectors.
  3. C
    The portfolio primarily faces market risk, which can be completely neutralized by spreading holdings across a broader selection of federal agency debt securities.
  4. D
    The portfolio primarily faces interest rate risk, which causes bond principal market values to appreciate when market interest rates rise.

Answer

The portfolio primarily faces purchasing power risk, which cannot be eliminated through diversification because inflation broadly degrades the real purchasing power of fixed cash flows across the entire economy.
Purchasing power risk (inflation risk) is a systematic risk that affects all fixed cash flow instruments. Rising inflation lowers the real buying power of fixed coupon payments and principal redemption values. Because systematic risk impacts the entire market simultaneously, expanding holdings within fixed-income securities cannot diversify away this risk.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the primary risk associated with holding long-term fixed-income debt during an inflationary period.
Inflation erodes the purchasing power of fixed interest payments and principal returned at maturity, making purchasing power risk (a type of systematic risk) the primary concern.
Systematic risks stem from overall macroeconomic factors that impact broad market sectors.
2
Evaluate the effectiveness of diversification against systematic risk factors.
Diversification reduces non-systematic (unsystematic) risk specific to individual issuers, but cannot eliminate systematic risk factors like inflation or market-wide interest rate shifts.
Because systematic risk affects the entire financial system or market as a whole, asset allocation across similar fixed-income securities does not insulate cash flows from general purchasing power degradation.

Key Concept

Purchasing Power Risk and Non-Diversifiability of Systematic Risk
Estimated Time:1m 0s
Rate this question