Question

Difficulty: MediumSystematic and Market Risks

An investor holding a portfolio of long-term U.S. Treasury bonds observes a significant decrease in the market value of the bonds following a series of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The investor is concerned that the U.S. government's ability to pay interest has deteriorated. Which statement accurately identifies the risk factor responsible for this price decline and its core characteristic?

  1. The decline is caused by interest rate risk, a systematic risk that inversely impacts bond prices when market rates rise, independent of issuer credit quality.Answer
  2. B
    The decline is caused by default risk, which can be eliminated by expanding the portfolio to include long-term corporate bonds across multiple industries.
  3. C
    The decline is caused by interest rate risk, but it can be completely eliminated by diversifying into a broader selection of long-term debt securities.
  4. D
    The decline is caused by an inverted yield curve, which signals an immediate rise in issuer default rates during periods of rapid economic expansion.

Answer

The decline is caused by interest rate risk, a systematic risk that inversely impacts bond prices when market rates rise, independent of issuer credit quality.
When prevailing interest rates increase, the prices of existing fixed-income debt instruments fall to align their yields with newly issued bonds. This inverse relationship represents interest rate risk, which is a systematic risk inherent to fixed-income investing and applies even to default-free obligations such as U.S. Treasury bonds.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the cause of the price drop
Federal Reserve interest rate hikes increased prevailing yields in the market.
Existing bonds with lower fixed coupon rates become less attractive, causing their market prices to fall.
2
Classify the type of risk
This inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices is known as interest rate risk.
Interest rate risk is a primary form of systematic (market-wide) risk affecting fixed-income instruments.
3
Evaluate diversification limits
Systematic risks affect the entire market and cannot be eliminated through diversification.
Even risk-free sovereign debt like U.S. Treasuries remains subject to interest rate risk.

Key Concept

Interest Rate Risk as a Systematic Risk
Estimated Time:1m 15s
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