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Zorluk: ZorPresidential Nominations and the Electoral College

A student is analyzing a hypothetical presidential election involving three states, shown in the table below:

StateCandidate A Popular VoteCandidate B Popular VoteTotal Electoral Votes
State East1,200,0001,200,000800,000800,0001010
State West900,000900,000950,000950,0001212
State South400,000400,000450,000450,00088

Assuming all three states allocate their electoral votes using a winner-take-all system, which of the following statements best explains how these results illustrate a major criticism of the Electoral College?

  1. A
    The system violates the principle of popular sovereignty by requiring electors to vote according to the national popular vote rather than their state's individual popular vote.
  2. B
    The results demonstrate that the Electoral College system is designed to promote a participatory model of democracy by ensuring that the national popular vote winner always wins the presidency.
  3. The winner-take-all allocation can result in a candidate winning the electoral vote without winning the popular vote, because a candidate's large margin of victory in one state cannot compensate for narrow losses in other states.Cevap
  4. D
    The results show that candidates who win the popular vote in a majority of states are constitutionally guaranteed to win the presidency, regardless of the size of the states they win.

Cevap

The correct answer is that the winner-take-all allocation can result in a candidate winning the electoral vote without winning the popular vote, because a candidate's large margin of victory in one state cannot compensate for narrow losses in other states.
The correct answer is that the winner-take-all allocation can result in a candidate winning the electoral vote without winning the popular vote. In this scenario, Candidate A wins State East by a large margin (400,000400,000 votes) but receives only 1010 electoral votes. Candidate B wins narrow victories in State West (50,00050,000 votes) and State South (50,00050,000 votes), capturing a total of 2020 electoral votes. Consequently, Candidate B wins the presidency in the Electoral College despite Candidate A winning the overall popular vote (2,500,0002,500,000 to 2,200,0002,200,000) across the three states. This highlights a classic criticism of the Electoral College: it can lead to a divergence between the national popular vote and the electoral vote winner because surplus votes in a safely won state do not help a candidate win other states.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Calculate the total popular vote for Candidate A and Candidate B across all three states.
Candidate A receives 1,200,000+900,000+400,000=2,500,0001,200,000 + 900,000 + 400,000 = 2,500,000 popular votes. Candidate B receives 800,000+950,000+450,000=2,200,000800,000 + 950,000 + 450,000 = 2,200,000 popular votes. Candidate A wins the overall popular vote by 300,000300,000 votes.
This establishes the baseline popular vote winner to compare against the Electoral College outcome.
2
Determine the allocation of electoral votes for each state using the winner-take-all rules.
Candidate A wins a plurality in State East and receives all 1010 electoral votes. Candidate B wins a plurality in State West and State South, receiving 12+8=2012 + 8 = 20 electoral votes. Candidate B wins the Electoral College with 2020 votes to Candidate A's 1010.
This determines the final winner of the presidential election under the Electoral College rules.
3
Identify which criticism of the Electoral College is demonstrated by comparing the popular vote and electoral vote outcomes.
Candidate B won the Electoral College despite Candidate A winning the popular vote. This happens because Candidate A's large margin of victory in State East (400,000400,000 votes) was offset by two narrow losses in State West and State South (totaling 100,000100,000 votes). This demonstrates how the winner-take-all system can result in a conflict between the popular vote and the electoral vote.
This connects the mathematical analysis of the data table to the constitutional criticism of the winner-take-all electoral system.

Anahtar Kavram

The Electoral College winner-take-all mechanic and its capacity to produce a divergence between the national popular vote and the electoral vote winner.
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