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Zorluk: KolayProbability of Independent and Dependent Events

A box contains 44 red balls and 66 blue balls. If two balls are randomly drawn from the box one after another without replacement, what is the probability that both balls drawn are red?

  1. A
    425\frac{4}{25}
  2. B
    325\frac{3}{25}
  3. 215\frac{2}{15}Cevap
  4. D
    13\frac{1}{3}
  5. E
    1115\frac{11}{15}

Cevap

The probability that both balls drawn are red is 215\frac{2}{15}.
The probability of selecting a red ball on the first draw is 410\frac{4}{10}. Since the ball is not replaced, 99 total balls remain in the box, of which 33 are red. The probability of selecting a red ball on the second draw given the first was red is 39\frac{3}{9}. By the multiplication rule for dependent events, the probability that both balls drawn are red is 410×39=1290=215\frac{4}{10} \times \frac{3}{9} = \frac{12}{90} = \frac{2}{15}.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Find the probability of drawing a red ball on the first pick.
P(First Red)=410=25P(\text{First Red}) = \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5}
There are 44 red balls out of a total of 1010 balls (4+6=104 + 6 = 10).
2
Find the conditional probability of drawing a red ball on the second pick after one red ball has been removed.
P(Second RedFirst Red)=39=13P(\text{Second Red} \mid \text{First Red}) = \frac{3}{9} = \frac{1}{3}
Because sampling is done without replacement, 11 red ball and 11 total ball are removed, leaving 33 red balls out of 99 remaining balls.
3
Multiply the probabilities of the dependent events to find the joint probability.
P(Both Red)=25×13=215P(\text{Both Red}) = \frac{2}{5} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{15}
For dependent events, P(A and B)=P(A)×P(BA)P(A \text{ and } B) = P(A) \times P(B \mid A).

Anahtar Kavram

Probability of Dependent Events (Sampling Without Replacement)
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