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Zorluk: OrtaAvoiding Out-of-Scope and 'Could Be True' Inference Traps

Passage:
In an economic study examining thirty regional technology hubs, researchers observed that fifteen hubs introduced targeted tax incentives for green energy startups in 2023. Every hub that introduced these tax incentives experienced a measurable increase in foreign direct investment in 2024. However, none of the hubs that introduced the incentives reported an increase in local patent filings during that same year.

Statement: Based on the passage, the claim 'The targeted tax incentives were the primary driver of the increase in foreign direct investment in the fifteen technology hubs' must be true.

Cevap: Cevap

Cevap

False. The statement cannot be properly inferred as a guaranteed fact from the passage premises.
The evaluation of False is correct. On GMAT Critical Reasoning inference items, a statement must be logically guaranteed by the text to be considered a valid deduction. The passage establishes that fifteen tech hubs introduced tax incentives in 2023 and subsequently experienced an increase in foreign direct investment in 2024. However, correlation and temporal sequence do not logically establish causation or prove that the incentives were the primary driver. Because the claim introduces an unstated causal link, it represents a 'could be true' / out-of-scope trap rather than a necessary truth.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Analyze the given premises in the passage
The passage establishes two factual relationships: 15 hubs introduced tax incentives in 2023, and 100% of those 15 hubs saw increased foreign direct investment in 2024.
Identify what is explicitly stated without adding outside assumptions.
2
Evaluate the logical connection required by the statement
The statement claims that the tax incentives were the 'primary driver' (causal mechanism) of the investment growth.
Determine whether causal mechanism is logically necessitated by temporal sequence.
3
Identify common inference traps
Mistaking correlation or sequence for causation is an out-of-scope extrapolation trap. The claim could be true, but it does not MUST be true.
On GMAT Critical Reasoning inference questions, claims that are merely plausible or 'could be true' are invalid deductions.

Anahtar Kavram

Avoiding Causal and Out-of-Scope Inference Traps
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