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Zorluk: KolayProbability of Independent, Dependent, and Mutually Exclusive Events

A machine operates using two independent components, Component AA and Component BB. The probability that Component AA functions properly on a given day is 0.900.90, and the probability that Component BB functions properly on that same day is 0.800.80. What is the probability that at least one of the components functions properly on a given day?

Cevap: 0.98

Cevap

The probability that at least one component functions properly is 0.980.98.
To determine the probability that at least one component functions properly, use the complement rule: P(at least one)=1P(neither)P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{neither}). Since Component AA and Component BB operate independently, the probability that AA fails is 10.90=0.101 - 0.90 = 0.10 and the probability that BB fails is 10.80=0.201 - 0.80 = 0.20. The probability of both components failing simultaneously is 0.10×0.20=0.020.10 \times 0.20 = 0.02. Subtracting this probability from 11 gives 10.02=0.981 - 0.02 = 0.98.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Find the probability of failure for each component.
P(Ac)=10.90=0.10P(A^c) = 1 - 0.90 = 0.10 and P(Bc)=10.80=0.20P(B^c) = 1 - 0.80 = 0.20
The event that a component fails is the complement of the event that it functions properly.
2
Calculate the joint probability of both components failing.
P(Ac and Bc)=0.10×0.20=0.02P(A^c \text{ and } B^c) = 0.10 \times 0.20 = 0.02
Because the components operate independently, their failure events are independent, so their individual probabilities are multiplied.
3
Calculate the probability that at least one component functions properly.
P(at least one functions)=10.02=0.98P(\text{at least one functions}) = 1 - 0.02 = 0.98
The event 'at least one component functions' is the exact complement of 'both components fail'.

Anahtar Kavram

Probability of Independent Events and Complement Rule
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