Forest ecologists observed that high-altitude pine trees infected with a native bark beetle species synthesize elevated levels of terpene resins, which effectively deter beetle oviposition. To protect commercial pine plantations at lower elevations from seasonal beetle outbreaks, the ecologists plan to treat young trees with a synthetic plant hormone that induces high terpene resin production prior to beetle emergence. They conclude that implementing this hormone treatment will significantly decrease beetle infestation rates in commercial plantations without relying on chemical insecticides. Which of the following is an assumption on which the forest ecologists' plan depends?
- The bark beetle populations in lower-elevation commercial plantations are not significantly more tolerant of terpene resins than the beetle populations in high-altitude forests.Cevap
- BApplying chemical insecticides to commercial pine plantations causes cumulative soil toxicity that inhibits long-term tree growth.
- CBeetle infestation rates in high-altitude forests have historically been lower than infestation rates in low-elevation plantations.
- DTreating commercial pine trees with the synthetic hormone is less expensive per acre than applying conventional chemical insecticides.
- EThe synthetic hormone can be manufactured in sufficient supply to treat every commercial pine plantation across the entire geographic region.
Cevap
The argument assumes that bark beetle populations in lower-elevation commercial plantations are not significantly more tolerant of terpene resins than high-altitude beetle populations.
The argument relies on the premise that stimulating terpene resin production in commercial pine trees will deter beetles from laying eggs. For this plan to succeed, the lower-elevation beetles targeted by the intervention must actually be susceptible to the deterrent effect of terpene resins. If lower-elevation beetles were highly tolerant of terpene resin, the hormone treatment would fail to prevent infestation, shattering the conclusion.
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Identifying Necessary Assumptions via the Negation Test