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Zorluk: KolayExplaining Surprising Outcomes

Last year, the city of Oakhaven banned the sale of sugary beverages in containers larger than 16 ounces, intending to reduce overall sugar consumption among its residents. However, a recent public health study reveals that in the year since the ban was implemented, the total volume of sugary beverages purchased and consumed by Oakhaven residents has increased significantly.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent discrepancy described above?

  1. Consumers in Oakhaven typically respond to the new size restriction by purchasing two or more 16-ounce sugary beverages at a time, resulting in a higher total volume consumed per person.Cevap
  2. B
    In the months following the ban, the city of Oakhaven implemented a steep retail tax on all sugary beverages, regardless of container size.
  3. C
    The size restriction applies solely to sweetened beverages, completely exempting large containers of unsweetened fruit juice and bottled water.
  4. D
    Since the ban took effect, the percentage of Oakhaven residents who regularly purchase sugary beverages has slightly decreased, while the overall population has remained constant.
  5. E
    Prior to the new regulations, a large majority of sugary beverages sold in Oakhaven were already packaged in containers of 16 ounces or less.

Cevap

The statement explaining that consumers respond to the restriction by purchasing multiple 16-ounce beverages at a time.
The correct answer successfully resolves the paradox by introducing an unintended consequence of the policy. If consumers feel restricted by the 16-ounce limit and compensate by purchasing two or more drinks per transaction, their individual consumption (32 or more ounces) easily surpasses the previous single large container. This perfectly explains how a ban on large sizes can lead to a significant increase in total volume consumed, allowing both original facts to be true.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the two apparently conflicting facts in the stimulus.
Fact 1: Oakhaven banned sugary drinks over 16 ounces to reduce consumption. Fact 2: The total volume of sugary drinks consumed has increased significantly since the ban.
Understanding the exact nature of the discrepancy is necessary to find a statement that bridges the gap.
2
Determine what is required to resolve the paradox.
The correct answer must explain how banning large sizes directly or indirectly caused residents to consume a higher total volume of sugary drinks.
A valid resolution must allow both facts to be true simultaneously without contradicting either.
3
Evaluate the answer choices against the required resolution.
The correct option provides an unintended behavioral shift (buying multiple smaller drinks) that directly explains how smaller individual sizes lead to greater total volume.
This is the only option that accounts for the increase in consumption while accepting the reality of the ban.

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Explaining Surprising Outcomes
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