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Zorluk: KolayResolve the Paradox

Last year, the city of Riverdale replaced all standard streetlights in its downtown commercial district with much brighter LED lights in an effort to reduce nighttime pedestrian trip-and-fall accidents. However, hospital records indicate that the number of pedestrians treated for injuries resulting from nighttime trip-and-fall accidents in that district increased significantly over the following year.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to resolve the apparent discrepancy described above?

  1. A
    The installation of the LED streetlights was completed ahead of schedule and cost significantly less than the city council had initially budgeted.
  2. B
    The new LED fixtures illuminate uneven curbs and sidewalk cracks much more clearly than the standard fixtures did.
  3. The improved lighting made the downtown commercial district feel safer at night, leading to a substantial increase in the total number of pedestrians walking there after dark.Cevap
  4. D
    The city failed to replace the light fixtures along three peripheral alleyways within the commercial district.
  5. E
    Nighttime pedestrian trip-and-fall accidents always occur more frequently during winter months than during summer months.

Cevap

The statement that the improved lighting made the downtown district feel safer at night, leading to a substantial increase in the total number of pedestrians walking there after dark.
The correct response resolves the paradox by demonstrating an increase in the total exposed population. If brighter lights attracted a significantly larger volume of pedestrians downtown after dark, the total number of injuries could rise simply because far more people were walking there, even if the likelihood of any single pedestrian falling was reduced.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the two conflicting facts presented in the stimulus.
Fact 1: Brighter streetlights were installed specifically to reduce nighttime trip-and-fall accidents. Fact 2: The absolute number of pedestrians treated for nighttime trip-and-fall injuries increased following the installation.
Resolving an apparent paradox requires clearly isolating the two premises that appear contradictory.
2
Determine the underlying causal link needed to reconcile both facts.
A change in the baseline population (total pedestrian foot traffic) can cause the total number of accidents to rise even if the per-person risk of falling decreased.
Total occurrences are the product of the individual probability of an event and the size of the exposed population.
3
Select the choice that provides this reconciling explanation without disputing the stated premises.
The option showing that the brighter lighting brought significantly more people into the district at night successfully bridges both facts.
This allows both the premise regarding improved lighting and the premise regarding higher total hospital visits to be simultaneously true.

Anahtar Kavram

Distinguishing between absolute totals and per-capita rates to reconcile unexpected trends
Tahmini Süre:50s
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