Soru

Zorluk: OrtaArgument by Analogy

City Council Member: To reduce the alarming rate of bicycle thefts in our city, we should implement a mandatory bicycle registration program, much like our existing automobile registration system. Our automobile registration requires owners to display visible plates and maintains easily traceable records in a central database; this system has made stealing cars incredibly difficult and risky. Similarly, requiring visible registration tags and maintaining a database of bicycle owners will effectively deter bicycle thieves.

Which of the following, if true, points out the most serious weakness in the city council member's argument?

  1. Unlike automobiles, which have deeply integrated vehicle identification numbers, bicycles can have registration tags and serial numbers quickly and permanently removed by a thief.Cevap
  2. B
    The legal 'registration' of an automobile is primarily designed to ensure liability insurance coverage, whereas the proposed 'registration' of bicycles is intended solely for property tracking.
  3. C
    Even with a strict registration system in place, some highly organized thieves will still manage to steal bicycles and avoid detection.
  4. D
    Implementing a mandatory bicycle registration program will not lead to any reduction in the rate of automobile thefts in the city.
  5. E
    Bicycle theft is generally considered a much lower priority by local law enforcement agencies than automobile theft.

Cevap

The statement pointing out that unlike automobiles, bicycles can have their registration tags easily removed.
The correct answer directly attacks the core assumption of the analogy. For the bicycle registration program to mimic the success of the automobile program, the tracking mechanisms must be similarly robust. By pointing out that bicycle tags can be easily and permanently removed—unlike deeply integrated car identification numbers—this option demonstrates a critical difference (disanalogy) between the two cases, effectively destroying the argument's predictive power.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion of the argument.
The conclusion is that requiring visible registration tags and a database will effectively deter bicycle thieves.
Understanding the main point is required to know what needs to be weakened.
2
Identify the premises and method of reasoning.
The author uses an argument by analogy: because a similar system worked for cars (due to visible plates and traceable records), it will work for bicycles.
Identifying the analogy highlights the core structural assumption: that cars and bicycles are similar enough in the relevant ways for the plan to succeed.
3
Evaluate the analogy for potential flaws (disanalogies).
A strong weaken answer will show a relevant difference between cars and bicycles regarding traceability and registration tags.
If the two subjects differ significantly regarding the mechanism of success, the analogy falls apart.
4
Select the option that breaks the analogy.
The correct option points out that bicycle tags can be easily removed, whereas car identifiers are deeply integrated.
This directly attacks the premise that bicycle registration will function just like car registration in practice.

Anahtar Kavram

Identifying a relevant disanalogy to weaken an argument by analogy.
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