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Zorluk: KolayStatistical Sampling and Studies

A community organization wanted to estimate the proportion of residents in a town who support the construction of a new public library. The organization surveyed a random sample of 200 residents who were visiting the current public library on a Saturday afternoon. Of those surveyed, 150 supported the construction of a new library. Which of the following is the most appropriate conclusion?

  1. The results cannot be generalized to all residents of the town because the sample of people surveyed at the current library is likely biased and not representative of the entire town's population.Cevap
  2. B
    Approximately 75% of all residents in the town support the construction of a new library.
  3. C
    The results can be generalized to all residents of the town because a random sample of 200 people is large enough to represent the entire population.
  4. D
    Because 150 out of 200 is 50%, approximately 50% of the people who visit the library on a Saturday support the construction of a new library.

Cevap

The results cannot be generalized to all residents of the town because the sample of people surveyed at the current library is likely biased and not representative of the entire town's population.
The correct option is the one stating that the results cannot be generalized to all town residents because library visitors are likely to support library-related initiatives more than the general public, making the sample non-representative.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Analyze the population and the sample collection method.
The target population is all residents of the town, but the sample consists of residents visiting the current public library on a Saturday.
To determine if results can be generalized, the sample must be representative of the target population.
2
Evaluate the representativeness of the sample.
People visiting a library are more likely to support a new library than the general public. Thus, the sample has selection bias and is not representative of all town residents.
Bias in the sampling method prevents generalization to the broader population.

Anahtar Kavram

Generalizing results from a sample to a population requires that the sample be representative and randomly selected from that population.
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