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Zorluk: OrtaTwo-Way Tables and Probability

A food safety laboratory tested 200200 samples of organic and conventional produce to detect the presence of a specific agricultural residue. The table below summarizes the results.

Produce TypeResidue DetectedResidue Not DetectedTotal
Organic151565658080
Conventional45457575120120
Total6060140140200200

If one of the tested samples is selected at random, given that the sample had no residue detected, what is the probability that the selected sample is conventional produce?

  1. A
    38\frac{3}{8}
  2. B
    58\frac{5}{8}
  3. 1528\frac{15}{28}Cevap
  4. D
    1328\frac{13}{28}

Cevap

The correct probability is 1528\frac{15}{28}.
The correct answer is 1528\frac{15}{28}. To find the conditional probability that a randomly selected sample is conventional produce given that it has no residue detected, we restrict our focus to the column labeled 'Residue Not Detected'. The total number of samples in this column is 140140 (6565 organic + 7575 conventional). Out of these 140140 samples, 7575 are conventional produce. The probability is therefore 75140\frac{75}{140}, which simplifies to 1528\frac{15}{28} by dividing both the numerator and the denominator by 55.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the total number of outcomes that satisfy the given condition.
The total number of samples with no residue detected is 65+75=14065 + 75 = 140.
Since the question asks for the probability 'given that the sample had no residue detected', the sample space is restricted to only the column 'Residue Not Detected'.
2
Identify the number of favorable outcomes within the restricted sample space.
Within the group of samples with no residue detected, the number of conventional produce samples is 7575.
We need to find the count where the sample is conventional produce under the condition that no residue was detected.
3
Calculate the conditional probability and simplify the fraction.
Probability=75140=1528\text{Probability} = \frac{75}{140} = \frac{15}{28}.
The probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to the total outcomes in the restricted sample space. Dividing the numerator and denominator by their greatest common divisor, 55, yields 1528\frac{15}{28}.

Anahtar Kavram

Conditional Probability and Two-Way Tables
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