Question

Difficulty: EasyComplementary Probability and At-Least-One Scenarios

A bag contains 5 red marbles and 5 blue marbles. If 2 marbles are randomly selected from the bag one after another without replacement, what is the probability that at least one of the selected marbles is red?

  1. 79\frac{7}{9}Answer
  2. B
    29\frac{2}{9}
  3. C
    59\frac{5}{9}
  4. D
    34\frac{3}{4}
  5. E
    14\frac{1}{4}

Answer

79\frac{7}{9}
To find the probability of drawing at least one red marble, calculate the probability of the complementary event (drawing two blue marbles) and subtract it from 1. The probability of selecting a blue marble on the first draw is 510\frac{5}{10}, and on the second draw without replacement it is 49\frac{4}{9}. The probability of both marbles being blue is 510×49=29\frac{5}{10} \times \frac{4}{9} = \frac{2}{9}. Subtracting this from 1 gives 129=791 - \frac{2}{9} = \frac{7}{9}.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the complementary outcome
The event 'at least one marble is red' is complementary to the event 'no marbles are red' (i.e., 'both marbles are blue').
Using the relationship P(at least one red)=1P(both blue)P(\text{at least one red}) = 1 - P(\text{both blue}) is simpler than summing individual favorable cases.
2
Calculate the probability of drawing two blue marbles without replacement
The probability that the first marble is blue is 510=12\frac{5}{10} = \frac{1}{2}. The probability that the second marble is blue is 49\frac{4}{9}. Therefore, P(both blue)=510×49=2090=29P(\text{both blue}) = \frac{5}{10} \times \frac{4}{9} = \frac{20}{90} = \frac{2}{9}.
Since draws are without replacement, the sample space and number of blue marbles decrease by 1 after the first draw.
3
Subtract the complementary probability from 1
P(at least one red)=129=79P(\text{at least one red}) = 1 - \frac{2}{9} = \frac{7}{9}.
The sum of complementary probabilities is always equal to 1.

Key Concept

Complementary Probability: P(at least one)=1P(none)P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{none})
Rate this question