Question

Difficulty: Very hardProbability of Independent and Dependent Events

A container holds 66 red tokens and nn blue tokens, where nn is a positive integer. Two tokens are drawn at random from the container one after another without replacement. If the probability that the first token drawn is red and the second token drawn is blue is equal to 935\frac{9}{35}, what is the value of nn?

Answer: 9

Answer

The value of nn is 99.
By applying the multiplication rule for dependent events without replacement, the probability is 66+n×n5+n=935\frac{6}{6+n} \times \frac{n}{5+n} = \frac{9}{35}. Simplifying and solving the resulting quadratic equation 3n237n+90=03n^2 - 37n + 90 = 0 yields n=9n = 9 as the only integer solution.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Formulate the joint probability for dependent events.
The probability of drawing a red token first then a blue token second is 66+n×n5+n\frac{6}{6+n} \times \frac{n}{5+n}.
Because sampling is done without replacement, the total number of remaining tokens decreases from 6+n6+n to 5+n5+n for the second draw.
2
Set up the algebraic equation with the given probability.
6n(6+n)(5+n)=935\frac{6n}{(6+n)(5+n)} = \frac{9}{35}
Equate the theoretical probability expression to the given value 935\frac{9}{35}.
3
Simplify and expand the equation.
Divide both sides of the numerator by 33: \frac{2n}{n^2 + 11n + 30} = \frac{3}{35}. Cross-multiplying yields 70n=3n2+33n+9070n = 3n^2 + 33n + 90.
Simplifying ratios makes polynomial expansion easier.
4
Solve the quadratic equation for nn.
Rearrange to 3n237n+90=03n^2 - 37n + 90 = 0, which factors into (3n10)(n9)=0(3n - 10)(n - 9) = 0.
Find the roots of the quadratic equation.
5
Select the valid integer solution.
Since nn must be an integer count of tokens, n=9n = 9 (rejecting n=103n = \frac{10}{3}).
The number of tokens nn must be a whole number.

Key Concept

Probability of Dependent Events (Sampling Without Replacement)
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