Strengthening Arguments

40 questions

Question 1Question

Historians analyzing early twentieth-century iron gall ink manuscripts observed that documents stored in wooden cabinets suffered significantly less paper degradation than identical manuscripts stored in metal cabinets within the same archive room. The archivists concluded that volatile organic compounds emitted by the untreated cedar wood reacted with atmospheric moisture to form a protective barrier on the paper surface, thereby inhibiting acid hydrolysis of the cellulose fibers.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the archivists' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Manuscripts stored in cedar cabinets whose interior surfaces had been coated with an impermeable synthetic sealant experienced paper degradation rates identical to those of manuscripts stored in metal cabinets.

Answer

The argument is most strengthened by evidence showing that when cedar cabinets are treated with an impermeable sealant that prevents volatile organic compound emissions, the preservation benefit disappears and degradation matches that of metal cabinets.
The archivists claim that the protective effect is specifically caused by volatile organic compounds emitted by cedar wood. The option establishing that sealing the interior of cedar cabinets—preventing those emissions while retaining the cabinet's physical material and structure—eliminates the preservation advantage serves as a classic control experiment. It confirms that the emissions are the active protective agent, strongly supporting the archivists' conclusion.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure into premise and conclusion.
Premise: Iron gall manuscripts stored in untreated cedar cabinets degraded less than identical manuscripts in metal cabinets in the same room. Conclusion: Volatile organic compounds emitted by cedar wood react with moisture to form a protective barrier that inhibits acid hydrolysis.
Identifying the explicit causal mechanism proposed by the author is essential for evaluating strengthening options.
2
Identify potential vulnerabilities or assumptions in the causal leap.
The author assumes that the chemical emissions themselves are the cause of preservation, rather than secondary physical attributes of wooden cabinets (such as light blockage, temperature insulation, or structural shielding).
A strong strengthening statement will validate the proposed cause by eliminating alternative explanations or testing the mechanism directly.
3
Evaluate the choices to find an option that confirms the proposed cause-and-effect relationship.
The choice showing that blocking cedar emissions with an impermeable sealant results in degradation rates identical to metal cabinets proves that the emissions are necessary for the preservation effect.
Eliminating the hypothesized cause while keeping the physical cabinet structure identical demonstrates a direct causal link.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments via Causal Mechanism Isolation
Estimated Time:2m 0s
Question 2Question

A water utility company in a drought-prone city plans to install automated pressure-regulating valves across its subterranean pipe network. The utility argues that by dynamically reducing water pressure during low-usage overnight hours, it will significantly decrease the total volume of water lost through minor background pipe leaks across the city.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the water utility company's argument?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: In unmanaged pipe networks, water pressure naturally reaches its daily peak during overnight hours, when low residential demand causes a surge in baseline pressure.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by the fact that in unmanaged pipe networks, water pressure naturally reaches its daily peak during overnight hours when residential demand is low.
The argument concludes that reducing water pressure during low-usage overnight hours will significantly decrease total water loss from background pipe leaks. The option explaining that water pressure naturally reaches its daily peak during overnight hours due to low residential demand directly supports this claim. It demonstrates that overnight hours are precisely when unmanaged pipes experience the highest stress and leakage rates, meaning targeted overnight pressure reduction will prevent a substantial volume of lost water.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the conclusion and premises of the argument
Premise: Automated pressure valves will reduce water pressure during overnight hours. Conclusion: This action will significantly decrease total water lost through minor pipe leaks across the city.
Strengthening requires finding a premise that reinforces the logical connection between the proposed action (overnight pressure reduction) and the expected outcome (significant reduction in total leak volume).
2
Evaluate the underlying assumption and logical gap
The argument assumes that overnight hours are a significant contributor to overall leakage or that pressure reduction overnight will yield substantial volume savings.
If pressure is not particularly high overnight or if overnight leakage is negligible, reducing overnight pressure would not produce a significant overall decrease.
3
Select the choice that validates the underlying mechanism
Establishing that water pressure naturally surges to its daily peak overnight confirms that overnight hours account for a major portion of pipe leakage, making overnight pressure management highly impactful.
Connecting low demand to high baseline pressure validates why targeting overnight hours specifically yields a significant reduction in total lost water.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments by Confirming Key Operational Assumptions
Estimated Time:1m 30s
Question 3Question

Municipal planners in City K recently installed permeable asphalt along downtown sidewalks to reduce surface runoff during storm events. During the first rainy season following installation, measured runoff volume entering the local river decreased by 30 percent compared to the historical seasonal average. The planners concluded that expanding the installation of permeable asphalt throughout all municipal districts will significantly mitigate urban flooding during future severe storms.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the municipal planners' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: The total volume and intensity of rainfall during the first rainy season were typical of severe storm conditions, and no other runoff control measures were introduced in the downtown area during that period.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by the statement showing that the total volume and intensity of rainfall during the trial period were typical of severe storm conditions and that no alternative runoff control measures were active.
The correct answer strengthens the argument by demonstrating that the test period was representative of severe storm conditions and by ruling out alternative explanations (such as other flood control projects or light rainfall) for the observed reduction in runoff.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument into premise and conclusion.
Premise: Permeable asphalt installed downtown coincided with a 30% drop in river runoff during one rainy season. Conclusion: Expanding permeable asphalt citywide will significantly mitigate future urban flooding.
Identifying the gap between a single limited trial and a broader causal claim is essential for evaluating strengthening statements.
2
Identify potential vulnerabilities in the author's reasoning.
The 30% drop could have been caused by lighter-than-usual rain or other unmentioned flood control interventions, or the trial conditions might not represent true severe storm conditions.
Strengthening questions often require ruling out alternative causes or confirming that trial conditions mirror the target conditions.
3
Evaluate the choices to find the statement that addresses these vulnerabilities.
Confirming that rainfall intensity matched severe storm conditions and that no other interventions occurred eliminates confounding variables and supports the claim that permeable asphalt caused the reduction.
Ruling out confounding variables directly increases confidence in the causal relationship asserted by the conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments by Ruling Out Confounding Variables
Question 4Question

To protect centuries-old parchment manuscripts from humidity-induced decay, the curators of a national archive recently replaced the facility's traditional refrigeration-based cooling coils with advanced chemical desiccant air-drying units. Over the six months following the replacement, sensor logs confirmed that relative humidity in the vault remained perfectly stabilized within the ideal target range of 45% to 50%. Nevertheless, physical inspections conducted at the end of the period revealed that the rate of structural fiber cracking on the parchment manuscripts was twice as high as it had been during the six months prior to the equipment change. Concluding that the new desiccant units were directly responsible for the accelerated deterioration, the lead conservator recommended re-installing the original refrigeration-based system.

Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the lead conservator's argument?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: During the six months following the equipment change, manuscripts stored in an adjacent vault served by the original refrigeration-based system experienced no increase in fiber cracking, despite being handled with the same frequency as those in the updated vault.

Answer

The argument is most strengthened by the evidence that manuscripts stored under the original refrigeration system in an adjacent vault suffered no increase in damage under identical handling conditions.
The correct response introduces a control group: identical manuscripts in an adjacent room kept under the old refrigeration system experienced no increase in cracking while being handled at the same rate. By keeping external conditions and handling constant between the two groups, this finding effectively rules out alternative explanations (such as seasonal shifts or handling damage) and provides strong empirical evidence that the new desiccant system caused the accelerated deterioration.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the author's premise and conclusion
Premise: Fiber cracking doubled after replacing refrigeration coils with chemical desiccant units, even though relative humidity remained constant. Conclusion: The chemical desiccant units caused the damage, so the original refrigeration system should be restored.
Understanding the precise causal link claimed by the author is essential to identifying strengthening evidence.
2
Evaluate potential logical gaps or alternative explanations
The increase in cracking could have been caused by unmeasured external variables (e.g., seasonal weather shifts, increased archival handling, ambient temperature fluctuation) rather than the desiccant units themselves.
Strengthening a causal argument requires ruling out plausible alternative causes or providing a control group.
3
Select the option that confirms causality by controlling for confounding variables
Showing that manuscripts in a control vault equipped with the old system suffered no increase in damage under identical conditions rules out general environmental or handling causes and isolates the desiccant system as the driver of the damage.
A controlled comparative setup eliminates alternative explanations, directly validating the lead conservator's causal claim.

Key Concept

Causal Argument Strengthening via Control Group / Elimination of Alternative Causes
Question 5Question

A renewable energy company recently installed ultrasonic anti-scaling transducers along the fluid conduits of its geothermal power plant. Management hypothesized that high-frequency sound waves from these devices would prevent mineral deposits from adhering to the interior of heat exchanger pipes, thereby eliminating the need for periodic chemical cleaning shutdowns. Over the subsequent six-month evaluation period, the plant operated continuously without requiring a single descaling shutdown, and net electricity output remained constant. Management concluded that the ultrasonic transducers were directly responsible for preventing mineral scale accumulation during this period.

Which of the following, if true, most strengthens management's conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: An adjacent geothermal well drawing from the identical fluid reservoir, operating without ultrasonic transducers, experienced severe mineral scaling that required three cleaning shutdowns during the same six-month period.

Answer

The argument is most strengthened by the finding that an adjacent, identical well lacking transducers suffered severe scaling under the same conditions.
The conclusion asserts a direct cause-and-effect relationship between the installation of ultrasonic transducers and the absence of mineral scale buildup. The option referencing the adjacent well drawing from the same fluid reservoir acts as a controlled experiment. By demonstrating that scaling still occurred in the absence of transducers under identical fluid conditions, it rules out the alternative explanation that fluid composition naturally prevented scaling, thereby strongly supporting the conclusion that the transducers caused the observed result.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the conclusion and underlying causal logic.
Conclusion: Ultrasonic transducers prevented mineral scale accumulation. Causal premise: Transducers were installed, and no scaling shutdowns occurred for six months.
To strengthen a causal conclusion, one must demonstrate that the cause produced the effect and rule out alternative causes (e.g., natural drop in mineral levels).
2
Evaluate the impact of establishing a comparative control group.
Showing that an identical well without transducers experienced scaling confirms that scaling conditions were present, establishing that the transducers were the critical difference-maker.
A control group isolates the causal variable and confirms that the outcome was not due to ambient environmental changes.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments via Controlled Comparison
Question 6Question

Archaeologists analyzing high-resolution synthetic aperture radar imagery of the Eastern Desert observed subsurface linear anomalies near ancient copper mines. Carbon dating of organic residue in nearby soil strata dates to the 12th century BCE. The researchers concluded that these linear anomalies represent buried irrigation canals constructed specifically to support the agricultural needs of the mining settlements.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the researchers' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Soil samples extracted directly from inside the linear structures contain preserved pollen from cultivated grain crops that cannot survive in desert environments without artificial watering.

Answer

The discovery of fossilized pollen from cultivated grain crops requiring artificial watering inside the linear structures provides direct empirical evidence that the anomalies were indeed irrigation canals built to support local agriculture.
The correct answer provides direct physical evidence connecting the subsurface linear structures to agricultural irrigation. Finding preserved pollen from crops that require artificial watering inside the features demonstrates that they functioned as water channels designed for crop cultivation, directly reinforcing the researchers' conclusion.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument into premise and conclusion
Premise: Radar imagery shows subsurface linear anomalies near 12th-century BCE copper mines, with nearby organic soil strata dating to that period. Conclusion: The anomalies are buried irrigation canals built to supply agricultural needs for the mining settlements.
Strengthening questions require identifying the logical gap between the evidence (linear shapes near mines) and the conclusion (irrigation canals for farming).
2
Identify the key assumption underlying the conclusion
The argument assumes that the linear anomalies are artificial structures intended for carrying water to crops rather than natural geological formations or non-agricultural conduits.
Providing evidence that directly links the interior of the structures to crop cultivation requiring diverted water validates this core assumption.
3
Evaluate the answer options against the strengthening objective
The option establishing the presence of crop pollen requiring artificial watering inside the structures explicitly confirms their agricultural and hydrological function.
Direct evidence of agricultural water usage inside the features supplies the missing evidentiary link.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments by Providing Direct Evidence for Unstated Assumptions
Question 7Question

Three months ago, a citrus orchard manager introduced a species of non-stinging predatory mite to combat Asian citrus psyllids, insects that transmit a destructive bacterial disease to orange trees. Over the subsequent three-month period, the population of Asian citrus psyllids in the orchard decreased by 60 percent. Based on this outcome, the manager concluded that the introduction of the predatory mites was responsible for the decline in the psyllid population.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the manager's conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: In nearby citrus orchards with identical environmental conditions where predatory mites were not introduced, the Asian citrus psyllid population did not decrease over the same three-month period.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by the statement indicating that in nearby orchards under identical conditions where predatory mites were not introduced, the psyllid population did not decrease.
The conclusion asserts a causal relationship between introducing predatory mites and the 60 percent decline in psyllids. The correct choice provides a control comparison: in neighboring orchards where environmental conditions were identical but mites were absent, psyllid populations remained stable. This rules out seasonal changes, weather events, or natural population cycles as the cause of the decline, significantly strengthening the manager's claim that the mites were responsible.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the argument's premises and conclusion.
Premise: Mites were introduced, and psyllid numbers dropped by 60% over 3 months. Conclusion: Introducing the mites caused the drop in psyllids.
Understanding the precise cause-and-effect claim is necessary before evaluating strengthening evidence.
2
Analyze what evidence would strengthen a causal claim.
A causal argument is strengthened by ruling out alternative explanations (such as weather or pesticides) or showing a control scenario where the cause is absent and the effect does not occur.
Standard GMAT strengthening mechanisms for causal arguments rely on establishing correlation/control or eliminating competing causes.
3
Evaluate the option presenting a control group.
Showing that nearby orchards without mites experienced no decrease in psyllids under identical weather conditions confirms that the decline was specific to the orchard with mites.
This effectively rules out external weather/seasonal factors as the true cause of the population decline.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments via Control Groups and Alternative Cause Elimination
Estimated Time:1m 15s
Question 8Question

To reduce agricultural nitrate pollution in local river systems, a regional water district plans to install floating artificial wetlands across its primary collection reservoirs. Critics argue that because the wetland plants enter dormancy during the winter—the season when agricultural runoff peaks—the system will fail to reduce nitrate levels when treatment is most needed. Nevertheless, environmental engineers maintain that installing these floating wetlands will substantially reduce the total annual amount of nitrates reaching the rivers. Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the environmental engineers' prediction?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Even when the plants are dormant, dense root matrices beneath the floating mats host cold-tolerant bacterial colonies that decompose nitrates throughout the winter.

Answer

Even when the plants are dormant, dense root matrices beneath the floating mats host cold-tolerant bacterial colonies that decompose nitrates throughout the winter.
The engineers predict a net annual reduction in nitrate runoff despite critics' objection that plants go dormant in winter during peak runoff. The option stating that cold-tolerant bacterial colonies within root matrices decompose nitrates through the winter directly resolves this concern. By providing a continuous mechanism for nitrate removal when plant uptake is dormant, this choice strongly reinforces the engineers' prediction.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the argument's structure and core conflict.
Premise: Critics point out that wetland plants are dormant in winter when agricultural runoff peaks. Conclusion: Engineers predict that floating wetlands will still significantly lower annual nitrate runoff to rivers.
Strengthening requires finding evidence that fills the logical gap or addresses the vulnerability raised by critics.
2
Determine the necessary strengthening mechanism.
The argument needs evidence showing that nitrate levels will still be reduced in winter despite plant dormancy, or that winter plant dormancy does not impede overall annual removal.
Overcoming the objection about winter inefficiency directly supports the engineers' annual reduction claim.
3
Evaluate the answer choices against the required mechanism.
The fact that cold-tolerant bacteria in the root matrix break down nitrates continuously during winter supplies a missing mechanism that explains how the system works despite plant dormancy.
Supplying an active process for nitrate breakdown during plant dormancy resolves the main vulnerability in the engineers' prediction.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments by Supplying a Missing Mechanism or Countering an Objection
Question 9Question

A municipal council recently planted thousands of fast-growing shade trees along residential streets with the goal of lowering household summer electricity bills. Council members reasoned that by shielding home roofs and exterior walls from direct sunlight during peak afternoon hours, the trees would significantly reduce the need for indoor air conditioning.

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the council members' reasoning?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Air conditioning units in the municipality consume significantly more energy when the surrounding air and building walls are heated by direct afternoon sunlight.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by the statement establishing that air conditioning units consume significantly more energy when building walls are heated by direct afternoon sunlight.
The correct response directly strengthens the argument by providing evidence for the underlying physical mechanism. If air conditioners draw significantly more electricity when building walls absorb direct sunlight, then shading those walls directly reduces the thermal load on the cooling units, validating the council's claim that household electricity bills will drop.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the premises and conclusion of the argument.
Premise: Planting street trees shields home roofs and walls from direct sunlight. Conclusion: Shielding homes from sunlight will reduce indoor air conditioning reliance and lower summer electricity bills.
Recognizing the connection between the premise (shading building surfaces) and the conclusion (lowering electricity bills) reveals the unstated assumption.
2
Identify the core assumption bridging premise and conclusion.
The argument assumes that direct sunlight hitting building walls significantly increases the energy required by air conditioning systems to cool the home interior.
A valid strengthening statement must confirm this operational relationship.
3
Evaluate the choices to find the statement that confirms this core assumption.
The statement showing that air conditioners consume significantly more energy when surrounding walls are heated by direct sunlight directly validates the proposed mechanism of energy savings.
Confirming the direct causal link strengthens the council's conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening a argument by confirming an underlying causal link or operational mechanism.
Question 10Question

Art historians recently analyzed a 14th-century illuminated codex of previously unknown origin and hypothesized that it was illuminated at Monastery X rather than at neighboring Monastery Y. In support of this hypothesis, the historians noted that chemical analysis of the blue pigment in the codex's illustrations revealed a specific trace ratio of mineral impurities identical to that of lapis lazuli imports recorded exclusively in Monastery X's financial ledgers from that era. Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the historians' hypothesis?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Financial ledgers from Monastery X indicate that all imported lapis lazuli pigments were strictly reserved for internal manuscript production and were never traded or gifted to outside scriptoria.

Answer

The statement that Monastery X strictly reserved all imported lapis lazuli pigments for internal manuscript production and never traded or gifted them to outside scriptoria provides the strongest support for the conclusion.
The argument concludes that Monastery X illuminated the codex based on the match between the pigment in the codex and Monastery X's imported lapis lazuli. For this evidence to strongly point to Monastery X as the creator, Monastery Y must not have had access to Monastery X's lapis lazuli. The option stating that Monastery X strictly reserved its lapis lazuli for internal use and never traded or gifted it directly eliminates the possibility that Monastery Y acquired and used the pigment, thereby validating the author's attribution.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the premise and conclusion of the argument.
Premise: The codex contains blue pigment matching lapis lazuli imports documented exclusively in Monastery X's ledgers. Conclusion: The codex was illuminated at Monastery X rather than Monastery Y.
Deconstructing the argument reveals the logical gap between possessing matching pigment data and proving exclusive origin.
2
Identify the unstated assumption or potential vulnerability in the author's logic.
The argument assumes that Monastery Y could not have used Monastery X's lapis lazuli pigment to illuminate the codex.
If Monastery X shared or sold its pigment to Monastery Y, the presence of that pigment in the codex would no longer prove Monastery X was the sole creator.
3
Evaluate the answer choices to find the statement that closes this logical gap.
Confirming that Monastery X never shared or traded its lapis lazuli pigments rules out the possibility that Monastery Y used the pigment, thereby strongly supporting Monastery X as the origin.
Eliminating alternative explanations is a classic mechanism for strengthening causal and attribution arguments on the GMAT.

Key Concept

Strengthening by ruling out alternative explanations / confirming key assumptions
Estimated Time:2m 0s
Question 11Question

Environmental scientists recently deployed underwater acoustic speakers broadcasting healthy reef soundscapes along a degraded coastline to attract free-swimming fish larvae, hoping to regenerate local kelp forests. Within six months of continuous broadcast, fish larval settlement along the treated coastline tripled, and local kelp canopy density increased by 40 percent. The scientists concluded that the soundscape-induced influx of fish larvae directly accelerated the recovery of the kelp forest. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the scientists' argument?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: The predominant species of fish larvae attracted by the soundscapes feed aggressively on juvenile sea urchins, which are the primary herbivores responsible for destroying kelp holdfasts in the region.

Answer

The argument is most strengthened by the statement establishing that the attracted fish larvae consume juvenile sea urchins, the primary destroyers of kelp holdfasts.
The conclusion claims that the influx of fish larvae directly caused the kelp forest's recovery. The statement about fish larvae preying on juvenile sea urchins supplies a direct biological mechanism connecting fish larvae to kelp survival: by consuming sea urchins (which destroy kelp holdfasts), the larvae reduce kelp mortality, directly explaining how their presence accelerates kelp canopy growth.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Analyze the core argument structure.
Premise 1: Soundscapes increased fish larvae settlement threefold. Premise 2: Kelp canopy density increased by 40%. Conclusion: The influx of fish larvae directly accelerated the kelp forest recovery.
Identifying the leap from correlation (larvae increase coincided with kelp increase) to causation (larvae caused kelp increase) is necessary to determine what support is required.
2
Identify the logical gap or missing link.
The argument assumes a causal connection between the presence of fish larvae and the growth of kelp without explicitly stating how fish larvae benefit kelp.
To strengthen a causal argument, an option must provide a plausible biological mechanism connecting the cause to the effect or rule out alternative causes.
3
Evaluate the choices against the logical gap.
The option stating that the larvae feed on sea urchins (which destroy kelp) supplies the exact causal mechanism needed to show that fish larvae actively protect kelp.
Connecting fish larvae behavior directly to the suppression of kelp predators validates the author's causal conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments by Supplying a Causal Mechanism
Question 12Question

A small local bakery introduced a new sugar-free pastry line last month, hoping to attract health-conscious customers. During that same month, the bakery's total sales increased by 20 percent. The owner concludes that introducing the sugar-free pastry line was the main cause of the increase in total sales. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the owner's conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Customer surveys conducted last month showed that the majority of new customers visited the bakery specifically to purchase the new sugar-free pastries.

Answer

Customer surveys conducted last month showed that the majority of new customers visited the bakery specifically to purchase the new sugar-free pastries.
The conclusion asserts a causal relationship between the launch of sugar-free pastries and the 20 percent sales increase. Showing that most new customers were drawn to the shop specifically by the sugar-free pastries provides direct evidence that the new line was indeed the driver of the increased sales.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the argument's premises and conclusion.
Premises: Sugar-free pastries introduced last month; total sales rose 20% that month. Conclusion: The sugar-free line caused the sales increase.
To strengthen an argument, one must first isolate the core gap between evidence and conclusion.
2
Identify the assumption or missing link.
The argument assumes the sales growth came from buyers of the new sugar-free pastries rather than external factors or increased sales of traditional items.
A strengthening statement will confirm this link or eliminate major alternative explanations.
3
Evaluate the choices to find the one that directly supports the causal link.
The statement showing that most new customers came specifically for the sugar-free pastries directly confirms that the new line drove the sales increase.
Direct evidence of consumer motivation confirms the proposed cause-and-effect relationship.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments
Estimated Time:1m 0s
Question 13Question

In the city of Valera, municipal authorities recently implemented a dedicated bus rapid transit (BRT) lane along the main commercial corridor, reducing automotive traffic lanes by fifty percent. Despite initial concerns from local merchants that the loss of driving lanes and street parking would reduce customer traffic, total retail sales along the corridor increased by twelve percent during the six months following implementation. City officials concluded that the BRT system was the primary driver of this increase in retail sales. Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the city officials' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: During the same six-month period, retail sales in comparable commercial corridors in Valera that lacked BRT lanes remained virtually unchanged.

Answer

The statement that retail sales in comparable commercial corridors without BRT lanes remained virtually unchanged during the same period provides the strongest support for the conclusion.
The conclusion asserts a causal relationship between the introduction of the BRT system and the rise in corridor retail sales. To strengthen this causal argument, evidence must show that the effect is specifically associated with the BRT system rather than a broader trend. Showing that comparable commercial corridors in the same city without BRT lanes saw no sales growth serves as a control comparison, ruling out citywide economic factors or inflation and isolating the BRT system as the likely driver.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Analyze the argument structure
Premise: BRT lane added; retail sales in corridor increased 12%. Conclusion: The BRT system caused the retail sales increase.
Identifying the premises and conclusion clarifies the author's causal claim.
2
Identify the central assumption and weakness
The argument assumes correlation equals causation and ignores potential external factors such as citywide economic growth, inflation, or seasonal trends.
Strengthening a causal conclusion requires ruling out alternative explanations or confirming a comparative baseline.
3
Evaluate the options against the strengthening objective
The option showing that similar corridors without BRT experienced no sales change acts as a control group, ruling out citywide economic growth as an alternative cause.
Eliminating alternative explanations directly reinforces the claim that the BRT system was responsible for the increase.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments by Ruling Out Alternative Explanations
Question 14Question

A municipal health agency recently installed advanced air-purification filtration systems in all public primary schools located in Sector 4, a district known for high levels of industrial particulate pollution. Over the six months following the installation, student absenteeism due to respiratory illnesses in Sector 4 primary schools dropped by 30 percent compared to the same period in previous years. Concluding that the filtration systems were directly responsible for this health improvement, city officials plan to expand the installation of these systems to all public secondary schools in Sector 4.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the city officials' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: During the six months following the installation, the total ambient concentration of industrial particulate pollution throughout Sector 4 remained at or above historical averages.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by the statement indicating that ambient outdoor pollution levels remained at or above historical averages during the six-month trial period.
The conclusion asserts a direct causal link between the newly installed air-purification systems and a 30 percent reduction in respiratory illness absenteeism. A classic vulnerability in causal arguments is that an unmentioned external factor—such as a general decrease in district-wide ambient pollution—might actually account for the outcome. The statement establishing that overall ambient pollution in Sector 4 remained at or above historical levels effectively rules out lower external pollution as an alternative explanation, thereby strengthening the conclusion that the indoor filtration systems caused the health improvement.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the Argument Structure
Premise: Indoor air filters were installed in Sector 4 primary schools, and respiratory absenteeism fell by 30%. Conclusion: The filtration systems were directly responsible for the reduction in respiratory illness.
Identifying the premise and conclusion reveals the underlying causal claim: Air Filters (Cause) -> Decreased Respiratory Illness (Effect).
2
Identify the Logical Vulnerability
The argument assumes correlation equals causation and ignores potential confounding variables, such as a natural decrease in overall outdoor pollution during those six months.
To strengthen a causal argument, one must eliminate alternative causes for the observed effect.
3
Evaluate the Impact of Ruling Out an Alternative Cause
Confirming that outdoor pollution remained high confirms that the drop in respiratory illness was not simply due to cleaner outdoor air, strongly reinforcing the contribution of the indoor filters.
Ruling out a major confounding variable directly bolsters the validity of the author's causal conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Claims by Ruling Out Alternative Causes
Estimated Time:2m 0s
Question 15Question

Archaeologists analyzing late-Bronze Age settlements along the upper Rhine found that around 1200 BCE, local pottery began exhibiting high concentrations of pine resin, an organic sealant used to preserve liquids. Concurrently, environmental soil core samples reveal a sharp spike in regional timber harvests, despite evidence that local population density and building construction remained stable. Scholars conclude that the settlements increased tree-felling primarily to produce pine resin for export containers. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the scholars' argument?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Extracting and processing pine resin in quantities sufficient to line large volumes of export containers required burning substantial amounts of harvested timber to fuel pitch-kilns.

Answer

The argument is most strengthened by establishing that extracting pine resin required burning large quantities of timber in pitch-kilns, directly linking increased tree-felling to resin production.
The correct answer provides the critical missing link in the argument's causal chain. The scholars conclude that tree-felling increased specifically to manufacture pine resin. Showing that resin extraction is a wood-intensive process requiring large amounts of fuel for pitch-kilns directly accounts for the timber harvest spike and strongly reinforces the conclusion.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure into premises and conclusion
Premises: (1) Pottery showed high pine resin around 1200 BCE. (2) Timber harvests spiked sharply at the same time. (3) Population and building construction did not increase. Conclusion: Tree-felling increased primarily to produce pine resin for export containers.
Identifying the logic gap requires clearly distinguishing the observed evidence from the author's causal claim.
2
Identify the unstated assumption or logical gap
The argument assumes that producing pine resin consumes or requires large amounts of harvested timber, explaining why timber harvests would spike alongside resin production.
Without a clear operational link showing how resin production leads to timber consumption, the correlation between tree-felling and resin presence remains unproven.
3
Evaluate choices to find the one that confirms the operational link
The statement explaining that pitch-kilns consumed massive amounts of timber to extract pine resin supplies the missing operational link.
Connecting timber felling directly to the resin extraction process eliminates missing steps in the causal chain and strongly validates the author's conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments by Supplying a Missing Operational Mechanism
Question 16Question

Urban planners in Metroville recently proposed planting deep-rooted oak trees along city avenues to expand the tree canopy and mitigate the urban heat island effect. Critics argued that the extensive root networks would crack adjacent underground water pipes, incurring massive municipal repair costs. In response, city planners pointed out that the target avenues are lined with modern flexible polymer pipes rather than traditional brittle clay pipes, concluding that the tree-planting initiative will not lead to pipe repair costs. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the city planners' argument?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Flexible polymer pipes have been shown in municipal engineering tests to bend under pressure from expanding tree roots without fracturing or leaking.

Answer

The statement that flexible polymer pipes bend under root pressure without fracturing or leaking most strengthens the argument.
The city planners defend their plan against critics by noting that the target avenues use flexible polymer pipes rather than brittle clay pipes. For this defense to hold, flexible polymer pipes must actually withstand root pressure better than clay pipes. Confirming that polymer pipes bend under root pressure without fracturing directly reinforces the planners' conclusion that pipe repair costs will be avoided.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Target avenues use flexible polymer pipes instead of brittle clay pipes. Conclusion: Planting oak trees will not cause pipe repair costs.
Identifying the premise-to-conclusion gap isolates the unstated assumption.
2
Identify the logical gap
The argument assumes that flexible polymer pipes will not crack or break when exposed to expanding oak tree roots.
Strengthening questions require finding evidence that validates key assumptions or rules out potential failure modes.
3
Evaluate the choices against the logical gap
The option confirming that polymer pipes withstand root expansion by bending without fracturing directly validates the planners' defense.
Providing empirical evidence of durability bridges the premise to the conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Defenses by Validating Assumptions
Question 17Question

Biopharmaceuticals produced via cell culture require precise environmental stability inside bioreactors. Last year, several batches of a critical biologic drug at a manufacturing facility were lost to opportunistic bacterial contamination. To eliminate future batch rejections, plant engineers installed automated sensor arrays that monitor nutrient consumption rates in real time. The engineers claim that this system will prevent future bacterial contamination losses because early detection of abnormal nutrient consumption allows immediate, targeted anti-microbial treatment before bacteria proliferate. Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the plant engineers' claim?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: In pilot trials with identical bioreactors, bacterial strains consistently altered nutrient consumption rates several hours before reaching cell densities capable of causing batch loss.

Answer

The argument is most strongly supported by evidence showing that in pilot trials, bacterial strains consistently altered nutrient consumption rates several hours before reaching cell densities capable of causing batch loss.
The correct answer provides critical empirical evidence establishing that the indicator (nutrient consumption changes) occurs significantly ahead of the harmful outcome (batch loss). This confirms the core assumption of the engineers' plan: that sensor detection provides a usable window of opportunity to intervene effectively before proliferation ruins the batch.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Identify the conclusion and main premise of the argument.
Conclusion: Real-time nutrient sensor arrays will eliminate future batch contamination losses. Premise: Early detection of abnormal nutrient consumption allows immediate targeted treatment before bacteria proliferate.
Understanding the precise link between early detection and intervention timing is crucial for identifying assumptions.
2
Analyze the underlying gap in the reasoning.
The argument assumes that bacterial growth changes nutrient consumption detectably *before* contamination reaches a point where the batch is already ruined or beyond treatment.
If bacterial alteration of nutrient levels occurs too late, early intervention will fail.
3
Evaluate which option validates this necessary temporal link.
The statement verifying that bacterial strains alter nutrient consumption several hours before destructive cell densities are reached proves that the detection window provides sufficient time for successful anti-microbial intervention.
Directly confirming the feasibility and timing of the proposed causal mechanism provides the strongest support.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments via Confirming Necessary Assumptions and Causal Timelines
Estimated Time:2m 0s
Question 18Question

A commercial fruit exporter plans to introduce low-concentration ozone gas injection into its long-distance refrigerated shipping containers to prevent mold decay in bananas during transit. Skeptics argue that ozone exposure can accelerate fruit ripening and softening by triggering ethylene production. The exporter claims that using ozone gas will successfully extend the saleable shelf life of the fruit upon arrival at distant ports without causing premature softening. Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the fruit exporter's claim?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: At low concentrations, ozone gas rapidly oxidizes and neutralizes ambient ethylene in enclosed spaces before the ethylene can bind to fruit ripening receptors.

Answer

The statement showing that ozone gas neutralizes ambient ethylene before it can bind to fruit receptors provides the strongest support for the exporter's claim.
The correct answer provides a chemical mechanism that directly defends the argument against the main objection. The critics argue that ozone causes softening by triggering ethylene. If low concentrations of ozone actually neutralize ambient ethylene before it can affect the fruit, the ozone removes the very agent responsible for premature ripening while still treating mold. This strongly supports the exporter's conclusion.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Analyze the core argument and main vulnerability
The exporter claims ozone will extend shelf life without premature softening. The main objection is that ozone triggers ethylene production, causing softening.
To strengthen the argument, an option must resolve the vulnerability by showing why ozone will not lead to ethylene-induced softening.
2
Evaluate the impact of the correct mechanism
If ozone oxidizes and neutralizes ethylene gas, it removes the trigger for premature ripening and softening.
This directly neutralizes the skeptics' counterargument and confirms that mold protection will occur without the negative side effect.

Key Concept

Strengthening Arguments
Question 19Question

In City X, municipal health officials observed that residents living in neighborhoods with a high density of full-service grocery stores report significantly lower rates of cardiovascular disease than residents in neighborhoods served primarily by fast-food outlets and convenience stores. To reduce the citywide incidence of cardiovascular disease, the city council proposes offering tax incentives to attract full-service grocery stores to underserved neighborhoods. The council reasons that increasing physical access to fresh produce will prompt residents to adopt healthier diets, thereby directly lowering their risk of cardiovascular illness.

Which of the following, if true, provides the strongest support for the city council's reasoning?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Individuals who maintain healthy diets are no more likely to choose to live in neighborhoods with full-service grocery stores than are individuals with poor dietary habits.

Answer

The correct response is the statement establishing that individuals with healthy diets are no more likely to move to neighborhoods with full-service grocery stores than those with poor diets.
The city council's argument relies on a causal claim: increasing physical access to fresh produce will cause residents to adopt healthier diets and lower their risk of cardiovascular disease. The evidence provided is a mere correlation between grocery store density and lower disease rates. A key vulnerability of correlation-to-causation reasoning is the possibility of self-selection bias—specifically, that health-conscious people actively choose to live in areas near full-service grocery stores. By confirming that individuals with healthy diets are no more likely to relocate to these neighborhoods than individuals with poor diets, the correct answer rules out self-selection bias, thereby substantially strengthening the likelihood that the stores themselves positively influence resident health.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure into premises, proposed action, and core conclusion.
Premise: Grocery store density correlates with lower cardiovascular disease. Action: Provide tax incentives for grocery stores in underserved areas. Conclusion: Increased physical access will cause healthier diets and directly reduce cardiovascular disease risk.
Identifying the logic gap between correlation (store location and health) and causation (store access causing health improvement) is crucial for strengthening the argument.
2
Identify potential vulnerabilities and unstated assumptions in the causal leap.
The main vulnerability is reverse causality or self-selection bias: perhaps health-conscious people self-select into neighborhoods with grocery stores, rather than the stores causing residents to become healthy.
To strengthen a causal argument based on observational correlation, one must rule out alternative explanations or confounding variables.
3
Evaluate the options to find the one that addresses the self-selection vulnerability.
The option stating that healthy eaters do not preferentially move to grocery-rich neighborhoods eliminates self-selection bias, ensuring the correlation is driven by the environment rather than residential preference.
Ruling out a major confounding variable directly strengthens the author's causal claim.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments by Eliminating Confounding Variables / Reverse Causality
Question 20Question

Analysis of sediment cores from a lake adjacent to a Bronze Age settlement reveals a sudden, steep decline in oak tree pollen accompanied by a dramatic increase in grass pollen around 1200 BCE. Archaeologists conclude that the settlement's inhabitants deliberately cleared the surrounding oak forests to expand agricultural land for crop cultivation. However, several paleoclimatologists contend that a regional shift toward severe aridity during the same period caused the natural die-off of the oak trees. Which of the following, if true, most strengthens the archaeologists' conclusion?

Show answer & explanation

Answer: Sediment layers corresponding to 1200 BCE contain high concentrations of domesticated cereal grain phytoliths and micro-charcoal particles characteristic of controlled field burning, while oxygen-isotope ratios in the same layers indicate stable precipitation levels.

Answer

The statement showing high concentrations of domesticated cereal grain phytoliths, controlled field burning charcoal, and stable oxygen-isotope precipitation levels provides the strongest support for the archaeologists' conclusion.
The correct response strengthens the argument on two fronts. First, it offers direct physical proof of human farming activity (cereal phytoliths and controlled slash-and-burn field clearing markers). Second, it disproves the paleoclimatologists' counter-hypothesis by establishing through oxygen isotopes that precipitation remained stable during the period, ruling out drought as a natural cause.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Oak pollen dropped while grass pollen spiked around 1200 BCE. Conclusion: Inhabitants cleared forests for crop cultivation. Counter-claim: Natural drought caused the forest die-off.
To strengthen a causal argument challenged by an alternative explanation, one must either rule out the alternative cause or supply direct evidence confirming the proposed mechanism.
2
Evaluate the competing hypotheses
The argument pit anthropogenic land clearing against natural aridity/drought.
The correct option must show evidence of human crop cultivation and/or evidence that drought did not occur.
3
Assess the impact of the correct evidence
Demonstrating cereal phytoliths and controlled burning confirms human agricultural activity, while stable oxygen-isotope ratios disprove the aridity hypothesis.
This dual impact eliminates the primary counterargument while providing direct corroborating evidence for the author's conclusion.

Key Concept

Strengthening Causal Arguments via Alternative Cause Elimination and Direct Evidence
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Strengthening Arguments Practice Questions — GMAT | Examkin