Question

Difficulty: Very hardProbability of Independent, Dependent, and Mutually Exclusive Events

Let AA and BB be two events in a sample space such that 0<P(A)<10 < P(A) < 1 and 0<P(B)<10 < P(B) < 1. Which of the following statements must be true? Select all that apply.

  1. If AA and BB are mutually exclusive, then AA and BB cannot be independent.Answer
  2. If P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B), then AA and BB are independent events.Answer
  3. C
    If AA and BB are independent events, then their complements AcA^c and BcB^c must be mutually exclusive.
  4. If P(AB)>P(A)P(A|B) > P(A), then P(BA)>P(B)P(B|A) > P(B).Answer
  5. E
    If AA and BB are independent events, then P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B).

Answer

The statements asserting that mutually exclusive non-impossible events cannot be independent, that P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B) implies independence, and that P(AB)>P(A)P(A|B) > P(A) implies P(BA)>P(B)P(B|A) > P(B) are all true.
For events with probabilities strictly between 0 and 1: (1) Mutual exclusivity requires P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0, whereas independence requires P(AB)=P(A)P(B)>0P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) > 0, so mutually exclusive events cannot be independent. (2) Substituting P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B) into the addition rule yields P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B), which defines independence. (3) P(AB)>P(A)P(A|B) > P(A) is mathematically equivalent to P(AB)>P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) > P(A)P(B), which in turn is equivalent to P(BA)>P(B)P(B|A) > P(B).

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Analyze the relationship between mutual exclusivity and independence.
Mutually exclusive events satisfy P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0. For independent events, P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B). Since P(A)>0P(A) > 0 and P(B)>0P(B) > 0, P(A)P(B)>00P(A)P(B) > 0 \neq 0. Thus, mutually exclusive non-impossible events can never be independent.
To evaluate structural compatibility between mutual exclusivity and independence.
2
Apply the addition rule of probability to check the union equation.
General addition rule: P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B). Comparing to the given P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A)P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A)P(B) shows P(AB)=P(A)P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B), which is the exact condition for independence.
To verify if the given expression for union probability forces independence.
3
Evaluate the joint probability of complementary events AcA^c and BcB^c.
Independence of AA and BB implies independence of AcA^c and BcB^c. Thus P(AcBc)=(1P(A))(1P(B))>0P(A^c \cap B^c) = (1-P(A))(1-P(B)) > 0. Because the joint probability is positive, the complements are not mutually exclusive.
To test whether independence of events implies mutual exclusivity of their complements.
4
Examine the symmetry of conditional probability inequalities.
P(AB)>P(A)    P(AB)>P(A)P(B)    P(BA)=P(AB)P(A)>P(B)P(A|B) > P(A) \implies P(A \cap B) > P(A)P(B) \implies P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} > P(B).
To evaluate directional dependence between conditional probabilities.
5
Check the simple addition rule for independent events.
Simple addition P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) applies only when P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0. Independent events have P(AB)=P(A)P(B)>0P(A \cap B) = P(A)P(B) > 0, so P(AB)<P(A)+P(B)P(A \cup B) < P(A) + P(B).
To distinguish between addition rules for mutually exclusive vs. independent events.

Key Concept

Theoretical relationships between independent, dependent, mutually exclusive, and conditional events.
Estimated Time:3m 0s
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