Question

Difficulty: HardProbability of Independent, Dependent, and Mutually Exclusive Events

Two events AA and BB are defined on a sample space such that P(A)=0.60P(A) = 0.60 and P(B)=0.75P(B) = 0.75. Which of the following statements must be true? Select all such statements.

  1. Events AA and BB cannot be mutually exclusive.Answer
  2. The probability that both events AA and BB occur, P(AB)P(A \cap B), is at least 0.350.35.Answer
  3. C
    Events AA and BB must be independent.
  4. The conditional probability P(AB)P(A \mid B) is at least 715\frac{7}{15}.Answer
  5. E
    The maximum possible value of P(A or B)P(A \text{ or } B) is 0.900.90.

Answer

The statements asserting that events AA and BB cannot be mutually exclusive, that the joint probability P(AB)P(A \cap B) is at least 0.350.35, and that the conditional probability P(AB)P(A \mid B) is at least 715\frac{7}{15} are all correct.
The sum of the probabilities of events AA and BB (1.351.35) exceeds 11, making mutual exclusivity impossible. The inclusion-exclusion principle dictates P(AB)0.60+0.751.00=0.35P(A \cap B) \geq 0.60 + 0.75 - 1.00 = 0.35. Consequently, the minimum conditional probability P(AB)P(A \mid B) is 0.350.75=715\frac{0.35}{0.75} = \frac{7}{15}.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Evaluate mutual exclusivity
If AA and BB were mutually exclusive, P(AB)=0P(A \cap B) = 0, so P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)=0.60+0.75=1.35P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) = 0.60 + 0.75 = 1.35. Since probability cannot exceed 11, the events cannot be mutually exclusive.
Verify if the sum of individual probabilities exceeds 1.
2
Determine the minimum joint probability P(AB)P(A \cap B)
Using P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)1P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) \leq 1, we have 0.60+0.75P(AB)1    P(AB)0.350.60 + 0.75 - P(A \cap B) \leq 1 \implies P(A \cap B) \geq 0.35.
Apply the inclusion-exclusion principle bounded by maximum total probability.
3
Test for required independence
Independence requires P(AB)=0.60×0.75=0.45P(A \cap B) = 0.60 \times 0.75 = 0.45. Since P(AB)P(A \cap B) can legitimately range anywhere between 0.350.35 and 0.600.60, independence is possible but not guaranteed.
Check whether joint probability is strictly fixed at the product of individual probabilities.
4
Calculate the lower bound for conditional probability P(AB)P(A \mid B)
P(AB)=P(AB)P(B)0.350.75=3575=715P(A \mid B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} \geq \frac{0.35}{0.75} = \frac{35}{75} = \frac{7}{15}.
Substitute the minimum joint probability into the conditional probability formula.

Key Concept

Probability rules governing overlap, mutual exclusivity, joint probability bounds, and conditional probability.
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