Question

Difficulty: HardExperimental and Theoretical Probability

A wheel is divided into 1010 equal sectors numbered 11 through 1010. In an initial experiment, the wheel is spun 400400 times, and a prime number is recorded 180180 times. Additional spins are to be conducted, all of which result in non-prime numbers. How many additional spins must be performed so that the overall experimental relative frequency of landing on a prime number equals the theoretical probability of landing on a prime number?

  1. 5050Answer
  2. B
    100100
  3. C
    200200
  4. D
    450450

Answer

50 additional spins
The correct value is 50. The theoretical probability of landing on a prime number from 1 to 10 is 4/10 = 2/5, since the prime numbers are 2, 3, 5, and 7. With 180 prime outcomes in 400 spins, adding N non-prime spins yields an experimental relative frequency of 180 / (400 + N). Setting 180 / (400 + N) = 2/5 yields 800 + 2N = 900, giving N = 50.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Determine the theoretical probability of landing on a prime number.
The prime numbers between 11 and 1010 are 2,3,5,2, 3, 5, and 77. Thus, there are 44 favorable outcomes out of 1010, giving P(theoretical)=410=25P(\text{theoretical}) = \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5}.
Theoretical probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to the total number of equally likely outcomes.
2
Formulate the expression for experimental relative frequency after NN additional non-prime spins.
The number of prime occurrences remains 180180, while the total number of spins becomes 400+N400 + N. Thus, P(experimental)=180400+NP(\text{experimental}) = \frac{180}{400 + N}.
Since all NN additional spins produce non-prime numbers, the count of prime outcomes does not increase, but the total number of trials increases by NN.
3
Equate the experimental relative frequency to the theoretical probability and solve for NN.
\frac{180}{400 + N} = \frac{2}{5} \implies 2(400 + N) = 180 \times 5 \implies 800 + 2N = 900 \implies 2N = 100 \implies N = 50.
Setting the experimental relative frequency equal to the theoretical probability allows determining the exact number of additional non-prime spins needed.

Key Concept

Theoretical vs Experimental Probability
Estimated Time:2m 0s
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