Historian: Any medieval fortress that successfully withstood a prolonged siege must have been situated on elevated terrain and equipped with an internal water supply. The recently excavated Dunhollow Keep was constructed on a steep, rocky promontory and contains a massive, well-preserved internal cistern system. Therefore, Dunhollow Keep undoubtedly withstood at least one prolonged siege during its active history.
Which of the following most accurately describes a flaw in the historian's reasoning?
- takes for granted that because a structure satisfied the prerequisites for a particular historical event, it must have actually experienced that event.Answer
- Btreats a set of conditions that are sufficient to guarantee a particular outcome as though they were merely necessary for that outcome.
- Cinfers a causal relationship between the geographical location of a fortress and its historical resilience based solely on a correlation.
- Dconcludes that because the individual architectural features of Dunhollow Keep were formidable, the fortress as a whole was unconquerable.
- Erelies on an implicit shift in the meaning of the phrase 'prolonged siege' between the general principle and the specific application.
Answer
The correct answer is the option stating that the argument assumes a structure experienced an event just because it met the prerequisites for that event.
The historian's argument commits a classic conditional reasoning flaw known as an illegal reversal. The first premise establishes that elevated terrain and an internal water supply are necessary conditions (prerequisites) for a fortress to successfully withstand a prolonged siege. The argument then observes that Dunhollow Keep possessed these necessary conditions and erroneously concludes that the fortress must have actually withstood a siege. This reasoning treats conditions that are merely required for an event as if they were sufficient to guarantee that the event occurred. The correct option accurately describes this error by pointing out that the historian takes for granted that meeting the prerequisites for an event means the event actually took place.
Step-by-Step Solution
Key Concept
Illegal Reversal (Confusing Necessary and Sufficient Conditions)