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Zorluk: KolayExperimental and Theoretical Probability

A fair six-sided die is rolled 150150 times in a probability experiment. If the number 44 lands face up 3535 times, what is the positive difference between the experimental probability and the theoretical probability of rolling a 44?

  1. 115\frac{1}{15}Cevap
  2. B
    730\frac{7}{30}
  3. C
    16\frac{1}{6}
  4. D
    25\frac{2}{5}

Cevap

The positive difference between the experimental probability and the theoretical probability is 115\frac{1}{15}.
The theoretical probability of getting a 4 on a fair die is 16\frac{1}{6}, which simplifies to 530\frac{5}{30}. The experimental probability from 3535 successes out of 150150 trials is 35150=730\frac{35}{150} = \frac{7}{30}. Taking the positive difference yields 730530=230=115\frac{7}{30} - \frac{5}{30} = \frac{2}{30} = \frac{1}{15}.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Calculate the theoretical probability of rolling a 4 on a fair six-sided die
P(theoretical)=16P(\text{theoretical}) = \frac{1}{6}
A fair six-sided die has 6 equally likely outcomes, and exactly one outcome is 4.
2
Calculate the experimental probability based on the experiment results
P(experimental)=35150=730P(\text{experimental}) = \frac{35}{150} = \frac{7}{30}
Experimental probability is the ratio of successful trials (35) to the total number of trials (150).
3
Subtract the theoretical probability from the experimental probability to find the positive difference
Difference=73016=730530=230=115\text{Difference} = \frac{7}{30} - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{7}{30} - \frac{5}{30} = \frac{2}{30} = \frac{1}{15}
Converting to a common denominator of 30 allows straightforward subtraction.

Anahtar Kavram

Comparing experimental probability (relative frequency from trials) to theoretical probability (expected frequency based on equally likely outcomes).
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