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Zorluk: OrtaCompound Events and Probability Laws

In a manufacturing plant, two independent automated assembly units, U1U_1 and U2U_2, undergo safety inspection. The probability that unit U1U_1 fails the inspection is 15\frac{1}{5}, while the probability that unit U2U_2 fails the inspection is 14\frac{1}{4}. What is the probability that at least one of the two units fails the inspection? Express your answer as a decimal.

Cevap: 0.4

Cevap

0.4
The probability that at least one unit fails is determined using the addition law for non-mutually exclusive independent events: P(U1U2)=P(U1)+P(U2)P(U1U2)=0.20+0.25(0.20×0.25)=0.450.05=0.40P(U_1 \cup U_2) = P(U_1) + P(U_2) - P(U_1 \cap U_2) = 0.20 + 0.25 - (0.20 \times 0.25) = 0.45 - 0.05 = 0.40. Alternatively, using the complement rule gives 1P(neither fails)=1(10.20)(10.25)=10.60=0.401 - P(\text{neither fails}) = 1 - (1 - 0.20)(1 - 0.25) = 1 - 0.60 = 0.40.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the individual failure probabilities
P(U1)=0.20P(U_1) = 0.20 and P(U2)=0.25P(U_2) = 0.25
These values represent the single event failure probabilities given in the problem statement.
2
Calculate the probability that neither unit fails
P(U1)×P(U2)=(10.20)×(10.25)=0.80×0.75=0.60P(U_1') \times P(U_2') = (1 - 0.20) \times (1 - 0.25) = 0.80 \times 0.75 = 0.60
Because the units operate independently, their complement events (passing inspection) are also independent.
3
Determine the probability of at least one unit failing
10.60=0.401 - 0.60 = 0.40
The event that at least one unit fails is the complementary event of neither unit failing.

Anahtar Kavram

Addition and Multiplication Laws of Probability for Independent Compound Events
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