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Zorluk: OrtaCompound Events and Probability Laws

Two independent events AA and BB have probabilities P(A)=14P(A) = \frac{1}{4} and P(B)=23P(B) = \frac{2}{3}. What is the probability that at least one of the events occurs, represented by P(AB)P(A \cup B)?

  1. 34\frac{3}{4}Cevap
  2. B
    1112\frac{11}{12}
  3. C
    16\frac{1}{6}
  4. D
    56\frac{5}{6}

Cevap

The probability that at least one of the events occurs is 34\frac{3}{4}.
The correct answer 34\frac{3}{4} is obtained by applying the multiplication law for independent events P(AB)=P(A)P(B)=1423=16P(A \cap B) = P(A) \cdot P(B) = \frac{1}{4} \cdot \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{6}, and substituting into the general addition law P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)=14+2316=912=34P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{2}{3} - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{9}{12} = \frac{3}{4}.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Calculate the intersection probability P(AB)P(A \cap B) for independent events
P(AB)=P(A)×P(B)=14×23=212=16P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B) = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{2}{3} = \frac{2}{12} = \frac{1}{6}
For independent events, the probability of both occurring together is the product of their individual probabilities.
2
Apply the general addition law of probability
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)
The addition law accounts for double-counting the intersection when finding the union of two events.
3
Substitute the values and simplify the fraction
P(AB)=14+2316=312+812212=912=34P(A \cup B) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{2}{3} - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{3}{12} + \frac{8}{12} - \frac{2}{12} = \frac{9}{12} = \frac{3}{4}
Finding a common denominator of 12 allows exact fractional addition and simplification.

Anahtar Kavram

Probability Laws for Independent and Compound Events
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