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Zorluk: OrtaExperimental and Theoretical Probability

A fair spinner is divided into 88 equal sectors numbered 11 to 88. In an experiment, the spinner is spun 120120 times, and it lands on a multiple of 33 a total of 3636 times. What is the positive difference between the experimental probability and the theoretical probability of landing on a multiple of 33?

  1. 120\frac{1}{20}Cevap
  2. B
    310\frac{3}{10}
  3. C
    14\frac{1}{4}
  4. D
    110\frac{1}{10}

Cevap

The positive difference between the experimental probability and theoretical probability is 120\frac{1}{20}.
The correct option is 120\frac{1}{20}. The theoretical probability of hitting a multiple of 33 on an 88-sector spinner is 28=14\frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}. The experimental probability over 120120 spins with 3636 successes is 36120=310\frac{36}{120} = \frac{3}{10}. Subtracting theoretical probability from experimental probability gives 31014=6520=120\frac{3}{10} - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{6-5}{20} = \frac{1}{20}.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Calculate the theoretical probability of landing on a multiple of 33.
The sample space is {1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8}\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\} (total 88 outcomes). Multiples of 33 in this set are {3,6}\{3, 6\} (22 outcomes). Thus, P(Theoretical)=28=14P(\text{Theoretical}) = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}.
Theoretical probability is the ratio of favorable outcomes to total possible outcomes in a fair trial.
2
Calculate the experimental probability (relative frequency) from the trial results.
P(Experimental)=36120=310P(\text{Experimental}) = \frac{36}{120} = \frac{3}{10}.
Experimental probability is defined as the number of observed successful events divided by the total number of trials conducted.
3
Find the positive difference between the experimental and theoretical probabilities.
Difference=31014=620520=120\text{Difference} = \frac{3}{10} - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{6}{20} - \frac{5}{20} = \frac{1}{20}.
Subtracting the smaller theoretical probability from the larger experimental probability yields the positive difference.

Anahtar Kavram

Experimental versus Theoretical Probability
Tahmini Süre:1m 30s
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