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Zorluk: ZorExperimental and Theoretical Probability

A bag contains xx red balls, 1212 blue balls, and 88 green balls. The theoretical probability of selecting a green ball at random from the bag is 14\frac{1}{4}. In an experiment where a ball is drawn with replacement 240240 times, a blue ball is recorded 102102 times. What is the positive difference between the experimental relative frequency and the theoretical probability of drawing a blue ball?

  1. 120\frac{1}{20}Cevap
  2. B
    740\frac{7}{40}
  3. C
    38\frac{3}{8}
  4. D
    1740\frac{17}{40}

Cevap

The positive difference between the experimental relative frequency and the theoretical probability of drawing a blue ball is 120\frac{1}{20}.
The total number of balls in the container is determined from the theoretical probability of green balls: 8N=14    N=32\frac{8}{N} = \frac{1}{4} \implies N = 32. The theoretical probability of drawing a blue ball is 1232=38=1540\frac{12}{32} = \frac{3}{8} = \frac{15}{40}. The experimental relative frequency is 102240=1740\frac{102}{240} = \frac{17}{40}. Taking the positive difference yields 17401540=240=120\frac{17}{40} - \frac{15}{40} = \frac{2}{40} = \frac{1}{20}.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Calculate total number of balls in the bag
Total balls N=32N = 32
Given theoretical P(Green)=8N=14P(\text{Green}) = \frac{8}{N} = \frac{1}{4}, solving for NN yields N=32N = 32.
2
Determine theoretical probability of selecting a blue ball
P(Blue)=38=1540P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{3}{8} = \frac{15}{40}
There are 1212 blue balls out of 3232 total balls, so P(Blue)=1232=38P(\text{Blue}) = \frac{12}{32} = \frac{3}{8}.
3
Calculate experimental relative frequency of selecting a blue ball
Relative frequency = 1740\frac{17}{40}
Blue was drawn 102102 times in 240240 trials, so 102240=1740\frac{102}{240} = \frac{17}{40}.
4
Find the positive difference between experimental relative frequency and theoretical probability
Difference = 120\frac{1}{20}
Subtracting 1540\frac{15}{40} from 1740\frac{17}{40} gives 240=120\frac{2}{40} = \frac{1}{20}.

Anahtar Kavram

Experimental relative frequency vs theoretical probability comparison
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