Any city that successfully implements a comprehensive public transit system will see a significant reduction in traffic congestion. Therefore, since the city of Oakhaven has recently seen a significant reduction in traffic congestion, it must have successfully implemented a comprehensive public transit system.
The flawed pattern of reasoning in the argument above is most similar to that in which one of the following?
- AAnyone who consumes a balanced diet will maintain a healthy immune system. Sarah does not consume a balanced diet, so she will not maintain a healthy immune system.
- BAny urban center that expands its highway network will experience increased maintenance costs. The urban center of Mapleton is expanding its highway network, so it will experience increased maintenance costs.
- All successful startup founders possess a high tolerance for risk. Thus, because Julian possesses a high tolerance for risk, he must be a successful startup founder.Cevap
- DMost directors who win major awards have backgrounds in independent film. Director Vance has a background in independent film, so she will likely win a major award.
- EThe orchestra is composed entirely of world-class musicians. Therefore, the orchestra's upcoming performance will undoubtedly be a world-class performance.
Cevap
The option stating that Julian must be a successful startup founder because he possesses a high tolerance for risk.
The original argument commits an illegal reversal flaw: it treats a necessary condition (reduced congestion) as if it were a sufficient condition, arguing that because the result occurred, the specific trigger must have caused it. The correct option perfectly mirrors this structure by establishing that being a successful founder guarantees high risk tolerance, and then flawed inferences that Julian's high risk tolerance guarantees he is a successful founder.
Adım Adım Çözüm
Anahtar Kavram
Parallel Flaw - Illegal Reversal