Question

Difficulty: MediumComplementary Probability and At-Least-One Scenarios

A financial firm has a team of 10 auditors consisting of 6 certified public accountants (CPAs) and 4 audit assistants. A special audit task force of 3 auditors is to be selected at random from the team. If the probability that the task force contains at least one CPA is expressed as a fraction ab\frac{a}{b} in simplest form, what is the value of a+ba + b?

Answer: 59

Answer

59
To find the probability of selecting at least one CPA, it is most efficient to use the complementary probability formula: P(at least 1 CPA)=1P(no CPAs)P(\text{at least 1 CPA}) = 1 - P(\text{no CPAs}). The total number of ways to select any 3 auditors from the team of 10 is given by (103)=10×9×83×2×1=120\binom{10}{3} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 120. The number of ways to select 3 auditors such that none are CPAs (i.e., all 3 are audit assistants) is (43)=4\binom{4}{3} = 4. Therefore, the probability of choosing zero CPAs is 4120=130\frac{4}{120} = \frac{1}{30}. Subtracting from 1 gives 1130=29301 - \frac{1}{30} = \frac{29}{30}. The fraction 2930\frac{29}{30} is in simplest form because 29 is a prime number and does not divide 30. Thus, a=29a = 29 and b=30b = 30, making a+b=59a + b = 59.

Step-by-Step Solution

1
Calculate total possible combinations for selecting 3 members from 10.
\binom{10}{3} = 120
Selection is made without replacement and order of selection does not matter.
2
Calculate combinations of selecting 3 members with no CPAs.
\binom{4}{3} = 4
All 3 selected members must come from the pool of 4 audit assistants.
3
Determine probability of the complement event (no CPAs).
P(\text{no CPA}) = \frac{4}{120} = \frac{1}{30}
Probability is favorable outcomes over total outcomes.
4
Compute probability of at least one CPA.
P(\text{at least 1 CPA}) = 1 - \frac{1}{30} = \frac{29}{30}
P(\text{at least one}) = 1 - P(\text{none}).
5
Find the sum of numerator a and denominator b in simplest form.
a + b = 29 + 30 = 59
29/30 cannot be simplified further as 29 is a prime number.

Key Concept

Complementary Probability and At-Least-One Scenarios
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