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Zorluk: OrtaPopulation Dynamics and Ecological Sampling

An ecologist conducted a mark-release-recapture study to estimate the population size of fiddler crabs (*Uca tangeri*) in a mangrove swamp along the Bonny Estuary in Rivers State. During the first sampling session, 150150 crabs were captured, marked with non-toxic waterproof paint, and released back into the habitat. One week later, a second sample of 120120 crabs was captured from the same area, of which 4040 were found to be marked. What is the estimated total population size of fiddler crabs in this sampled area?

Cevap: 450 crabs

Cevap

The estimated total population size of fiddler crabs in the sampled area is 450.
The estimated population size is calculated using the Lincoln-Petersen index formula N=M×CRN = \frac{M \times C}{R}, where M=150M = 150, C=120C = 120, and R=40R = 40. Substituting these values gives N=150×12040=450N = \frac{150 \times 120}{40} = 450 crabs.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Extract the given values for the mark-release-recapture formula
Marked initially (MM) = 150150; Total captured in second sample (CC) = 120120; Marked recaptures (RR) = 4040.
These three quantitative metrics are required to calculate the population estimate.
2
Apply the Lincoln-Petersen Index formula: N=M×CRN = \frac{M \times C}{R}
N=150×12040N = \frac{150 \times 120}{40}
The index assumes that the proportion of marked individuals in the second sample equals the proportion of marked individuals in the total population.
3
Compute the final population estimate (NN)
N=450N = 450
Dividing 120120 by 4040 yields 33, and multiplying 150150 by 33 gives 450450 crabs.

Anahtar Kavram

Lincoln-Petersen Index for Animal Population Estimation
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