Weakening Arguments

40 soru

Soru 1Soru

To combat declining municipal revenues from downtown parking meters, the city council of Elmridge plans to eliminate the two-hour parking limit on all downtown streets. Council members argue that allowing drivers to park indefinitely will encourage visitors to spend more time dining and shopping in the downtown district, thereby increasing local business sales and boosting the city's sales tax revenues.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the city council's argument?

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Cevap: Eliminating time limits causes downtown office commuters to occupy parking spaces early in the morning for full workdays, drastically reducing space availability for shoppers and diners.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the finding that removing parking time limits will cause full-day office commuters to occupy downtown parking spaces early in the morning, thereby reducing space availability for shoppers and diners throughout the day.
The correct answer weakens the argument by demonstrating an unintended side effect of the plan: full-day office commuters will park early and occupy downtown spaces all day. This severely reduces parking availability for retail customers and diners, neutralizing the intended revenue increase.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the core argument
Premise: Eliminating the 2-hour parking limit allows drivers to park indefinitely. Conclusion: Visitors will stay longer to shop/dine, raising local business sales and city sales tax revenues.
Identifying the link between the plan (removing time limits) and the intended outcome (increased shopper visits and revenue) is essential to finding the unstated assumption.
2
Identify the unstated assumption
The argument assumes that shoppers and diners will be the primary beneficiaries of open-ended parking and will find available spaces easily.
A plan-to-goal argument relies on the assumption that the implementation will operate as intended without creating obstacles that defeat the goal.
3
Evaluate the impact of new evidence
If commuters occupy the spaces all day before shoppers arrive, overall customer turnover drops and shoppers cannot park downtown.
Introducing an alternative user group (commuters monopolizing spaces) invalidates the key assumption and demonstrates that the plan will decrease shopper access, directly undermining the conclusion.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Arguments - Plan Implementation and Unintended Consequences
Soru 2Soru

To decrease total operating expenses, the Fairview Municipal Water District plans to install bio-purification filters upstream of its primary membrane filtration system. Water district officials note that microplastic debris currently clogs and damages the delicate membrane filters, requiring $2 million annually in replacement and repair costs. Because the new bio-purification filters effectively capture over 90 percent of incoming microplastics before they reach the primary membranes, officials conclude that installing these bio-filters will significantly reduce the facility's overall annual operating costs.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the water district officials' argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: The chemical solutions required to routinely clean and maintain the bio-purification filters cost substantially more per year than the total annual expenditure for replacing damaged membrane filters.

Cevap

The chemical solutions required to routinely clean and maintain the bio-purification filters cost substantially more per year than the total annual expenditure for replacing damaged membrane filters.
The conclusion asserts that adding bio-purification filters will reduce overall annual operating expenses by eliminating 2millioninmembranerepairs.Thislogicreliesontheassumptionthatrunningthebiofilterswillnotgeneratenewexpensesequaltoorgreaterthan2 million in membrane repairs. This logic relies on the assumption that running the bio-filters will not generate new expenses equal to or greater than 2 million. The correct response points out that routine maintenance chemicals for the bio-filters cost substantially more per year than the $2 million saved, demonstrating that the net financial outcome will be an increase in total operating expenses, directly weakening the conclusion.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Microplastics cause $2 million in annual damage to membrane filters. Premise: Bio-filters remove 90% of microplastics before reaching membranes. Conclusion: Installing bio-filters will reduce overall annual operating costs.
Identifying the central claim and supporting evidence reveals the underlying assumption.
2
Identify the unstated assumption
The argument assumes that the ongoing cost to purchase, operate, and maintain the new bio-filters will be significantly less than the $2 million currently spent on membrane repairs.
A net reduction in total operating costs requires that savings exceed any new expenses incurred by the plan.
3
Evaluate choices for an undermining fact
The statement showing that chemical cleaning solutions for the bio-filters cost more per year than the $2 million membrane repair bill directly breaks the underlying assumption.
If new operational expenses exceed current repair costs, total operating expenses will increase rather than decrease.

Anahtar Kavram

Evaluating Plan Feasibility and Net Cost-Benefit Assumptions
Soru 3Soru

To reduce regional water consumption, an agricultural cooperative plans to distribute automated soil-moisture sensors to all member farms. The sensors send real-time alerts whenever soil moisture drops below an optimal threshold, allowing farmers to irrigate only when necessary rather than on a fixed calendar schedule. The cooperative's directors conclude that installing these sensors will significantly decrease total agricultural water usage across the region over the next two years. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the directors' argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: Most member farmers currently irrigate less than the optimal moisture threshold due to water cost concerns, but plan to increase watering to recommended sensor levels once alerts are automated.

Cevap

The directors' argument is most seriously weakened by the finding that most member farmers currently underwater their crops relative to the optimal threshold and intend to increase watering once sensor alerts are implemented.
The conclusion relies on the unstated assumption that current schedule-based irrigation uses more water than sensor-guided optimal irrigation. The correct choice reveals that farmers currently apply less water than the optimal threshold due to costs, and will increase watering once sensor feedback is available. This counter-behavior causes total water consumption to rise, directly undermining the cooperative's objective.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the argument's premises and conclusion.
Premise: Automated sensors alert farmers to irrigate only when moisture drops below an optimal threshold, replacing fixed schedules. Conclusion: Regional agricultural water usage will decrease significantly.
Understanding the logical jump from premise to conclusion reveals the implicit assumption.
2
Uncover the central unstated assumption.
The argument assumes that farmers' current fixed schedules deliver more water than the sensor-determined optimal threshold requires.
If current watering is equal to or less than optimal levels, adopting precision sensors will not reduce water volume.
3
Evaluate the choices to find new evidence breaking this assumption.
The statement showing that farmers currently underwater their crops and plan to raise irrigation to match sensor recommendations directly refutes the assumption of net water savings.
If farmers increase watering frequency upon receiving sensor data, overall regional consumption will rise rather than fall.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Plan-to-Goal Arguments by Identifying Unintended Behavioral Counter-Effects
Soru 4Soru

To increase household incomes in underdeveloped agricultural districts, a telecommunications company plans to deploy low-cost satellite internet service across remote farming villages. The company contends that providing farmers with real-time commodity prices and hyper-local weather forecasts through a mobile application will allow them to optimize their harvest timing and crop sales strategies, thereby substantially raising their net earnings.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the telecommunications company's argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: The vast majority of farmers in these villages sell their produce to regional distributors under binding multi-year contracts that predetermine fixed delivery dates and prices.

Cevap

The fact that most farmers sell their crops under binding multi-year contracts with fixed delivery dates and prices undermines the assumption that real-time market and weather data can alter their harvest and sales behavior.
The argument relies on the key unstated assumption that farmers have the operational flexibility to alter their harvest dates and crop sale strategies based on real-time information. If farmers are bound by multi-year contracts that mandate fixed delivery schedules and non-negotiable prices, receiving real-time data cannot influence their financial outcomes, directly shattering the link between internet deployment and increased earnings.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the main conclusion and premises of the argument.
Premise: Satellite internet provides real-time prices and weather forecasts. Conclusion: This access will allow farmers to optimize harvest/sales timing and raise net earnings.
Understanding the logic gap between premise and conclusion is essential for identifying unstated assumptions.
2
Determine the central unstated assumption.
The argument assumes farmers possess the operational freedom and market flexibility to act on real-time data by changing when they harvest and at what price they sell.
If farmers cannot alter their harvesting schedule or selling prices, access to real-time information will produce no actionable change in earnings.
3
Evaluate the options to find information that invalidates this central assumption.
Finding that farmers are legally bound by pre-determined fixed-price delivery contracts eliminates their ability to alter sales timing or prices, rendering the real-time information ineffective.
A valid weakener shows a critical flaw or counter-condition that prevents the cause from producing the intended effect.

Anahtar Kavram

Plan-to-Goal Feasibility & Unstated Assumptions in Causal Reasoning
Soru 5Soru

To increase overall bus ridership, the Metro Transit Authority plans to equip all express buses with Transit Signal Priority (TSP) technology. This system communicates with traffic lights to extend green light durations when an express bus approaches an intersection, thereby shortening trip times on express routes. The Authority reasons that by reducing travel times for express bus passengers, deploying TSP on express routes will lead to a net increase in the city's total daily bus ridership.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the Metro Transit Authority's argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: A substantial majority of express bus passengers rely on local feeder buses to reach express stops, and the extended green lights for express buses will cause longer red lights and severe delays for those intersecting local feeder routes.

Cevap

The argument is most weakened by the finding that express bus passengers depend on local feeder buses whose schedules will be severely delayed by the longer red lights created on intersecting streets.
The argument assumes that reducing travel time on express bus routes will result in a net increase in total citywide bus ridership. The correct option reveals a critical flaw in this plan: because the vast majority of express passengers rely on local feeder buses to reach express stops, and because the TSP system lengthens red light durations on intersecting streets, those local feeder buses will face severe delays. Consequently, total commute times for these passengers will not decrease—and may even increase—negating the intended incentive to use public transit and undermining the conclusion that overall ridership will grow.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument structure.
Premise: TSP technology shortens travel time for express buses by extending green lights. Goal/Conclusion: Implementing TSP on express routes will increase total daily bus ridership.
Identifying the explicit link between the plan (shorter express bus travel time) and the expected outcome (increased total ridership) exposes the central assumption.
2
Identify the unstated assumption.
The argument assumes that shortening express bus travel times will yield a net benefit without introducing countervailing delays elsewhere in the bus network that reduce overall ridership.
A plan-to-goal argument fails if implementation creates negative side effects that outweigh the direct benefit.
3
Evaluate the options for a weakening factor.
The choice showing that local feeder buses will suffer severe delays demonstrates that express riders will experience equal or greater delays before reaching the express bus, negating the incentive to ride.
Demonstrating that the plan undermines its own objective through feeder route delays directly attacks the feasibility of increasing net ridership.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Plan-to-Goal Arguments via Counterproductive Side Effects
Soru 6Soru

A tech firm observed that employees who voluntarily chose to work remotely reported higher job satisfaction than those who worked in the office. Based on this observation, management concluded that transitioning all employees to remote work will increase overall employee job satisfaction across the company. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens management's conclusion?

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Cevap: Employees who chose remote work were primarily those whose job duties require minimal collaboration, whereas most office-based roles require constant group coordination that suffers remotely.

Cevap

The argument is most weakened by showing that the remote employees surveyed had roles unrepresentative of the entire workforce, creating a selection bias that makes the conclusion invalid for office-based positions.
The correct answer weakens the argument by exposing a selection bias. The premise relies on data from employees who voluntarily chose remote work, likely because their specific roles suited it. If office-based roles depend heavily on real-time group coordination that deteriorates in a remote environment, forcing those employees to work remotely will likely decrease satisfaction, invalidating the conclusion that total remote work will raise overall satisfaction.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the main conclusion and premise.
Premise: Voluntarily remote employees report higher satisfaction. Conclusion: Mandating remote work for all employees will increase overall job satisfaction.
Understanding the logic gap requires clearly isolating what the premise proves versus what the conclusion claims.
2
Evaluate the underlying assumption.
Management assumes that the satisfaction experienced by voluntary remote workers will apply equally to all employees regardless of role.
Weakening questions target unstated assumptions connecting the premise to the conclusion.
3
Select the choice that undermines this assumption.
The option showing that voluntary remote workers have fundamentally different job responsibilities than office workers demonstrates that the sample is non-representative, directly undermining the conclusion.
Pointing out selection bias breaks the causal link between the initial observation and the proposed company-wide plan.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Arguments: Selection Bias and Unrepresentative Samples
Tahmini Süre:1m 0s
Soru 7Soru

To mitigate severe summer train delays caused by the thermal expansion of steel tracks, a municipal transit authority plans to coat all exposed rail lines with a solar-reflective ceramic finish. In pilot testing conducted on an unused, stationary track segment, the coating reduced peak surface temperatures by 15°C, keeping the metal well below the critical temperature at which heat-induced warping occurs. The authority concludes that implementing this coating systemwide will successfully eliminate heat-related train slowdowns. Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the transit authority's conclusion?

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Cevap: The intense friction generated by the steel wheels of active, heavy train traffic rapidly abrades the ceramic coating, stripping it off the rails within days of operational use.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the fact that the friction of active train traffic rapidly abrades and strips the ceramic coating off the rails within days.
The correct answer undermines a key assumption of the plan: that the ceramic coating will remain effective under real-world operating conditions as it did on an unused test track. By showing that mechanical friction from heavy train traffic rapidly strips the coating off the rails, this choice demonstrates that the plan cannot achieve its goal of preventing summer track warping.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument core
Premise: In a pilot test on an unused, stationary track, solar-reflective ceramic coating lowered peak metal surface temperatures by 15°C, preventing thermal warping. Conclusion: Systemwide application on operational tracks will eliminate heat-related slowdowns.
Identifying the author's logical leap from a stationary test environment to real-world operating conditions reveals the underlying assumption.
2
Identify the unstated assumption
The author assumes that conditions on active, heavily trafficked rail lines will not interfere with the coating's durability or thermal performance compared to the stationary test line.
Plan-to-goal arguments rely on the implicit premise that pilot conditions accurately forecast operational realities.
3
Evaluate the impact of new evidence
If high-frequency heavy train traffic removes the coating almost immediately through wheel friction, the coating cannot maintain its reflective benefits, completely undermining the plan's expected outcome.
Showing that real-world operational factors negate the key mechanism demonstrated in the pilot directly breaks the link between the premise and conclusion.

Anahtar Kavram

Extrapolation from Pilot Conditions to Operational Environments
Soru 8Soru

To reduce order fulfillment errors caused by manual sorting, a major online retailer plans to deploy Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMRs) across all its regional distribution centers. Management notes that in pilot tests at a prototype facility, the automated sorting system reduced mispackaged shipments by 80 percent compared to human sorters. Therefore, management concludes that deploying AMRs nationwide will significantly lower overall operational costs associated with shipping errors.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens management's argument?

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Cevap: The specialized technical labor and maintenance fees required to resolve routine AMR sorting malfunctions cost more per incident than the financial losses previously incurred from human mispackaging errors.

Cevap

The statement showing that specialized technical maintenance fees for robot sorting errors exceed the losses from human sorting errors.
The conclusion asserts that deploying AMRs will lower overall operational costs associated with shipping errors. The correct answer weakens this argument by demonstrating an unconsidered cost of the new technology: fixing AMR sorting malfunctions requires expensive specialized technicians whose fees exceed the cost of human sorting mistakes. Consequently, even with fewer physical mispackages, the financial cost associated with sorting errors will increase, defeating management's goal.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Pilot tests showed an 80% reduction in mispackaged shipments using AMRs compared to human sorters.
Conclusion: Nationwide deployment of AMRs will significantly lower overall operational costs associated with shipping errors.
Identifying the explicit premise and conclusion isolates the central claim and logical gap.
2
Identify the unstated assumption
The argument assumes that the financial savings achieved by preventing human mispackaging errors will not be offset or exceeded by new costs created by the AMR system itself.
A cost-reduction conclusion requires that total expenditures associated with the new process are net lower than under the old process.
3
Evaluate answer choices for an alternative factor that invalidates the net cost reduction
The option pointing out that specialized technical labor and maintenance fees to fix AMR malfunctions cost more per incident than human sorting errors directly shatters the net savings premise.
Showing that new error-handling costs surpass old error losses proves the total operational costs associated with shipping errors will actually rise.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Cost-Benefit Arguments
Soru 9Soru

A bookstore chain recently added coffee cafes inside all of its retail locations to boost overall bookstore sales. During the twelve months following the installation of the cafes, total sales at these bookstores increased by 15 percent. The management concluded that adding the cafes was the primary cause of the increase in sales. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the management's argument?

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Cevap: During the same twelve-month period, the bookstore chain's primary regional competitor closed all of its stores, driving a large influx of new customers to remaining bookstores.

Cevap

The statement showing that a major regional competitor closed all stores during the same timeframe most seriously weakens the argument by providing an alternative cause for the increase in sales.
The correct answer weakens the argument by introducing an alternative explanation for the 15 percent increase in bookstore sales. If a major competitor closed all its stores during the exact same period, the sudden influx of displaced customers would account for the sales surge regardless of whether the cafes were added.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion and premise of the argument.
Premise: Bookstores added cafes, and total sales rose by 15 percent over the next year. Conclusion: Adding the cafes caused the 15 percent sales increase.
Understanding the precise causal claim is essential for finding the flaw or assumption.
2
Identify the underlying unstated assumption.
The author assumes that no other external factor was responsible for the 15 percent increase in sales during that timeframe.
Causal arguments rely on the assumption that correlation implies causation and that alternative causes are absent.
3
Evaluate the options to find new information that breaks the causal connection.
The option noting the closure of the primary regional competitor introduces an independent, plausible alternative cause for the sudden rise in sales.
Demonstrating an alternative explanation directly undermines the conclusion that the cafes were the primary driver of growth.

Anahtar Kavram

Causal Reasoning and Alternative Explanations
Soru 10Soru

A local agricultural extension office recently advised fruit orchard owners to plant wildflower strips along the perimeter of their crop fields. The office reasoned that these wildflower strips would attract a larger population of wild bees, which in turn would increase pollination and boost overall fruit yields per acre.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the extension office's argument?

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Cevap: Wildflower strips also attract a species of pest beetle that consumes fruit blossoms, destroying more blossoms than the additional wild bees can pollinate.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the finding that wildflower strips attract pest beetles that destroy more blossoms than the wild bees can pollinate.
The core argument claims that planting wildflower strips will increase overall fruit yields because the strips attract wild bees that increase pollination. The statement about pest beetles reveals an unintended consequence of planting wildflower strips: attracting beetles that destroy more blossoms than the extra bees can pollinate. This net loss of fruit blossoms directly undermines the conclusion that fruit yields per acre will increase.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the premises and conclusion
Premise: Wildflower strips attract wild bees, increasing pollination. Conclusion: Planting wildflower strips will boost overall fruit yields per acre.
Understanding the logical jump from increased bee attraction to increased yield is required to evaluate potential weak points.
2
Determine the unstated assumption
The author assumes that attracting wild bees via wildflower strips will not produce counteracting negative factors that offset or exceed the benefits of additional pollination.
Weakening questions often target hidden assumptions regarding plan feasibility or unintended side effects.
3
Evaluate the choices to find new information undermining the conclusion
The statement regarding pest beetles shows a direct side effect that reduces blossom viability beyond what extra pollination gains, preventing an increase in total fruit yields.
Information demonstrating that a plan produces a net negative effect on its goal shatters the argument's conclusion.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Arguments
Soru 11Soru

A regional agricultural board planned to reduce crop losses caused by the invasive stem borer beetle by introducing a parasitic wasp species known to prey exclusively on stem borer larvae. In field trial plots located in low-altitude valleys, the wasp was released, and stem borer larva populations dropped by 70%70\% within one season, leading to a substantial decrease in crop damage. Based on these results, the board concluded that releasing the wasp regionally will reliably protect crops from stem borer damage across all commercial farming zones in the region. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the agricultural board's argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: The parasitic wasp cannot survive winter temperatures characteristic of the region's primary commercial farming zones, which are located at much higher altitudes than the trial plots.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the fact that the parasitic wasp cannot survive the winter temperatures in the region's primary commercial farming zones.
The correct answer weakens the argument by exposing a flaw in generalizability. The agricultural board assumes that success in low-altitude trial plots guarantees success across all commercial farming zones. If the main commercial farming zones experience winter temperatures too cold for the wasp to survive due to higher altitude, the wasp population will fail to establish itself and cannot provide reliable crop protection.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument's premises and main conclusion.
Premise: Releasing wasps in low-altitude trial plots reduced stem borer larvae by 70% and significantly decreased crop damage. Conclusion: Regional release of the wasp will reliably protect crops across all commercial farming zones in the region.
Understanding the precise leap from trial plot results to region-wide application is essential to identifying logical vulnerabilities.
2
Identify the unstated assumption linking premise to conclusion.
The argument assumes that environmental and operational conditions in the trial plots are representative of all commercial farming zones in the region.
For trial results to predict regional outcomes, key conditions affecting wasp survival must be consistent across zones.
3
Evaluate answer choices for information that shatters this assumption.
Evidence that the wasp cannot survive winter temperatures in the main commercial farming zones (due to altitude differences) proves the trial results cannot be replicated regionally.
If the wasp dies off during winter in primary farming areas, it cannot provide sustained or reliable crop protection.

Anahtar Kavram

Generalizability of Trial Results and Environmental Constraints in Biological Plans
Soru 12Soru

Hospitals in competitive metropolitan areas frequently suffer substantial revenue loss when surgical procedures are delayed due to sterilizer equipment failure. To eliminate these losses, a regional hospital network plans to replace all of its steam-autoclave sterilizers with modern hydrogen peroxide gas plasma units. Because gas plasma units complete a sterilization cycle in one-third the time required by steam autoclaves, hospital administrators conclude that adopting gas plasma units will virtually eliminate surgical delays caused by equipment unavailability.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the hospital administrators' conclusion?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: Gas plasma units require specialized synthetic containment trays that degrade rapidly under routine use, necessitating mandatory cooling and safety inspection periods that offline the units for longer total duration each week than steam autoclaves.

Cevap

The argument is most weakened by the finding that gas plasma units require frequent inspection and cooling downtime for synthetic trays, resulting in greater overall weekly equipment unavailability than steam autoclaves.
The correct answer identifies an operational constraint—frequent inspection and cooling periods for specialized containment trays—that causes gas plasma units to be offline for longer cumulative periods overall than the older steam autoclaves. Even though each sterilization cycle is individually faster, the increased maintenance downtime reduces total equipment availability, directly contradicting the administrators' conclusion that surgical delays due to unavailable equipment will be eliminated.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the core argument
Premise: Gas plasma sterilizers complete individual cycles in one-third the time of steam autoclaves. Conclusion: Replacing steam autoclaves with gas plasma units will eliminate surgical delays caused by equipment unavailability.
Identifying the link between the premise (faster cycle time) and conclusion (reduced overall equipment downtime) exposes the unstated assumption that faster cycle times equal greater total equipment availability.
2
Identify the unstated logical gap
The argument assumes no secondary factors (such as maintenance, inspection, or failure rates) will offset the time saved during individual sterilization cycles.
To weaken a plan-to-goal argument, an option must demonstrate an unintended side effect or constraint that prevents the goal from being achieved.
3
Evaluate the choices against the central gap
The option revealing that maintenance safety inspections offline the gas plasma units for longer total durations per week directly breaks the assumption and proves equipment unavailability will persist or worsen.
This fact directly undermines the conclusion that surgical delays caused by equipment unavailability will be eliminated.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Causal and Plan-to-Goal Arguments via Unintended Operational Bottlenecks
Tahmini Süre:2m 0s
Soru 13Soru

A major commercial airline plans to retrofit its long-haul passenger fleet with lightweight carbon-fiber seating frames to reduce overall aircraft weight and lower fuel expenditures over the next five years. Management reasons that because jet fuel represents over thirty percent of total operating expenses, achieving a ten percent reduction in cabin weight will generate substantial net financial savings, even after accounting for the initial capital costs of purchasing and installing the new seats.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the reasoning behind the airline management's plan?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: The carbon-fiber seating frames require specialized bi-annual structural inspections and maintenance that cost significantly more than the monetary value of the projected fuel savings.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by demonstrating that specialized bi-annual structural inspections and maintenance for the carbon-fiber seats will cost significantly more than the projected fuel savings.
The airline's conclusion rests on the financial calculation that reducing fuel consumption will produce net savings after paying for the initial installation of the seats. Showing that recurring maintenance and inspection costs for these specific seats exceed the monetary value of the fuel saved directly contradicts the assumption of net savings, invalidating management's reasoning.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the core argument
Premise: Carbon-fiber seats reduce cabin weight by 10%, lowering fuel usage. Fuel is >30% of operating costs.
Conclusion: The retrofit plan will generate substantial net financial savings over 5 years despite initial installation costs.
Identifying the explicit premises and conclusion reveals the logic gap.
2
Identify the key unstated assumption
The author assumes that there are no additional hidden or ongoing costs associated with carbon-fiber seats that will exceed the projected fuel savings over the 5-year timeframe.
Weakening questions targeting cost-benefit plans frequently rely on unstated operational or maintenance costs.
3
Evaluate the options for logical impact
The statement regarding bi-annual maintenance costs explicitly shows that recurring expenses will exceed the monetary value of fuel saved, rendering net savings impossible.
Directly breaking the financial feasibility premise shatters the conclusion.

Anahtar Kavram

Feasibility and Net Impact in Plan-Based Arguments
Tahmini Süre:2m 0s
Soru 14Soru

To reduce annual operational expenditures, the municipal water authority of Oakhaven plans to install acoustic sensor networks along its underground pipeline grid. The authority reasons that because these sensors detect acoustic frequencies generated by micro-leaks long before water breaches the surface, maintenance crews can repair small pipe fractures early, thereby significantly lowering total water loss costs and expensive emergency excavation expenses.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the municipal water authority's argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: Subterranean vibrations from heavy vehicle traffic and municipal transit lines in Oakhaven frequently trigger false leak alerts in the acoustic sensors, resulting in exploratory excavations that cost more than traditional emergency repairs.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the finding that subterranean traffic vibrations cause frequent false leak alerts in acoustic sensors, prompting exploratory excavations that cost more than traditional emergency repairs.
The conclusion asserts that installing acoustic sensors will lower water loss and emergency excavation expenses. The correct answer points out that background traffic vibrations trigger false positive alerts, leading to unnecessary exploratory digs that cost more than current emergency repairs. This directly invalidates the premise that early detection leads to overall net savings on excavations.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion and main premise of the argument.
Conclusion: Installing acoustic sensor networks will significantly lower total water loss costs and emergency excavation expenses. Premise: Sensors detect micro-leaks early, allowing early repairs.
Understanding the logical gap requires isolating what the author assumes will happen when sensors are deployed.
2
Identify the underlying unstated assumption.
The author assumes that sensor alerts will accurately indicate actionable leaks without introducing new, unforeseen operational expenses that outweigh the savings.
A weakening statement must target this link by showing why early detection via sensors will not actually result in net cost savings.
3
Evaluate the answer choices for a factor that undermines the net cost reduction.
The statement regarding false leak alerts triggered by traffic vibrations demonstrates that the sensors will generate unnecessary exploratory digs, incurring costs that exceed baseline repair expenses.
This directly counteracts the claim that total excavation and maintenance costs will decrease.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Causal and Plan-to-Goal Arguments
Soru 15Soru

To reduce municipal carbon emissions and alleviate gridlock, City X introduced a daily congestion toll on private passenger automobiles entering its commercial core during morning peak hours. Analysts argue that this policy will successfully decrease overall motor vehicle traffic along the primary access corridors leading into the commercial core by at least 25 percent. Their reasoning is that the added financial cost will compel a significant portion of daily automobile commuters to switch to the city's underutilized suburban rail network. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the analysts' argument?

Cevabı ve açıklamayı göster

Cevap: Because the toll applies exclusively to private passenger automobiles, commercial delivery fleets and ride-hailing services plan to sharply increase peak-hour trips along those same access corridors to meet shifted consumer demand.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the statement that commercial delivery fleets and ride-hailing services will increase peak-hour trips along the access corridors, replacing reduced private cars with other motor vehicles.
The correct answer demonstrates that while private passenger cars may decrease due to the toll, another category of motor vehicles—commercial fleets and ride-hailing cars—will significantly increase operations on the exact same access corridors. This directly invalidates the analysts' assumption that reduced private automobile commuter traffic guarantees a 25 percent drop in total motor vehicle volume.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the main conclusion and premises.
Conclusion: Overall motor vehicle traffic along primary access corridors leading into the commercial core will decrease by at least 25%. Premise: A daily toll on private passenger cars will cause commuters to switch to suburban rail.
Deconstructing the argument isolates the leap between private car commuter behavior and total vehicle traffic volume.
2
Identify unstated assumptions in the argument's logic.
The argument assumes that private passenger vehicles are the sole major contributor to traffic volume on those corridors, or that decrease in private vehicles will not be replaced by other types of vehicular traffic.
Weakening questions require finding new information that shatters an unstated assumption.
3
Evaluate option impacts against the core assumption.
Showing that exempt vehicle categories (delivery fleets and ride-hailing cars) will increase trip frequency along the exact same corridors directly counteracts the projected net traffic reduction.
Demonstrating an offsetting surge in non-tolled motor vehicles directly breaks the link between fewer private cars and lower overall corridor traffic volume.

Anahtar Kavram

Evaluating Causal and Extrapolation Arguments by Identifying Offsetting Alternative Factors
Soru 16Soru

To reduce mortality rates from aggressive skin cancers, a network of dermatology clinics plans to deploy a new automated scanning device that detects subtle tissue irregularities undetectable by visual examination alone. Clinic administrators claim that because the device identified early-stage tissue irregularities in 30 percent more patients during trials than visual exams did, deploying this technology across all clinics will significantly decrease overall skin cancer mortality among their patients. Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the clinic administrators' argument?

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Cevap: The vast majority of the additional tissue irregularities detected by the automated scanning device are harmless, benign growths that never progress to malignant cancer.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the fact that the vast majority of the additional tissue irregularities detected by the scanning device are benign growths that never develop into malignant cancer.
The correct answer demonstrates that the 30 percent increase in detected tissue irregularities consists almost entirely of harmless, benign growths. Because these growths would never have developed into fatal skin cancer anyway, detecting them provides no mortality reduction benefit, thereby undermining the administrators' central conclusion.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion and premises of the argument.
Premise: The new scanning device detected 30% more early-stage tissue irregularities than visual exams. Conclusion: Deploying the device across all clinics will significantly reduce skin cancer mortality.
Understanding the structure reveals the core assumption: that detecting these additional tissue irregularities leads to early treatment of fatal cancers.
2
Evaluate the underlying assumption connecting premise to conclusion.
The author assumes that the extra anomalies detected represent dangerous, early-stage cancers that would otherwise become fatal.
To weaken the argument, we must find evidence that undermines this key assumption.
3
Select the option that shows the extra detections do not prevent fatal cancer.
If the additional detected irregularities are benign growths that never turn into cancer, identifying them does not reduce cancer mortality.
This directly undermines the claim that higher detection rates of these irregularities will decrease patient deaths.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Arguments by Severing the Premise-Conclusion Assumption
Soru 17Soru

To reduce financial losses from fraudulent claims, a major art insurer instituted a rule requiring all paintings valued over $100,000 to undergo advanced spectroscopic pigment testing prior to policy issuance. The insurer reasoned that because fraudulent claims overwhelmingly involve recent forgeries crafted with modern synthetic pigments that spectroscopic testing easily identifies, this mandatory pre-issuance verification would drastically cut the firm's fraudulent payout losses. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the insurer's reasoning?

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Cevap: Fraudulent claims involving paintings valued over $100,000 predominantly stem from staged disappearances of genuine artworks rather than the submission of forged pieces.

Cevap

The insurer's plan relies on the assumption that fraudulent claims on high-value paintings depend on insuring forged artworks. Demonstrating that high-value fraud primarily involves staged disappearances of genuine paintings undermines the effectiveness of pre-issuance authentication.
The correct answer weakens the argument by exposing a flaw in the plan's core assumption. The insurer assumes that fraudulent payouts occur because forged paintings are successfully insured. However, if fraudsters stage thefts of genuine paintings, the painting presented at policy issuance is authentic and will easily pass spectroscopic testing. Consequently, the insurer remains vulnerable to fraudulent payouts despite implementing mandatory testing.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the core argument structure
Premise: Fraudulent claims overwhelmingly involve recent forgeries using synthetic pigments, which spectroscopic testing detects. Plan: Require spectroscopic testing prior to policy issuance for paintings over $100,000. Conclusion: Fraudulent payout losses will be drastically cut.
Identifying the link between the premise (detecting fake canvases at issuance) and the conclusion (reducing payout losses) reveals the key unstated assumption.
2
Identify the unstated logical assumption
The insurer assumes that fraudulent claims on policies above $100,000 rely on getting forged paintings authenticated and insured in the first place.
If the fraud mechanism does not depend on insuring fake canvases, authentication at issuance will not stop fraudulent claims.
3
Evaluate the choices to find the statement that breaks this link
The statement indicating that fraud in the target price bracket mainly involves staged disappearances of genuine artworks shows that paintings will pass the initial spectroscopic test, rendering the protocol ineffective at preventing fraudulent payouts.
This introduces an alternative mechanism of fraud that completely bypasses pre-issuance pigment inspection.

Anahtar Kavram

Evaluating Plan Feasibility and Unstated Assumptions in Causal Reasoning
Soru 18Soru

To reduce municipal expenditures on stormwater drainage maintenance, the city of Oakhaven recently replaced non-native turf along major roadways with deep-rooting native shrubs known to absorb large volumes of groundwater. City officials reasoned that because these shrubs absorb up to 40 percent more groundwater during severe storms than non-native turf, storm runoff entering the municipal drainage network will decrease substantially, thereby lowering ongoing maintenance costs over the next decade.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the city officials' argument?

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Cevap: The deep root systems of the mature native shrubs expand into subterranean drainage pipes, causing structural blockages that require repairs far more costly than routine drainage maintenance.

Cevap

The argument is most seriously weakened by the finding that the deep root systems of the mature native shrubs expand into subterranean drainage pipes, causing structural blockages that require repairs far more costly than routine drainage maintenance.
The correct answer identifies a direct, unintended side effect of the planted native shrubs: their deep roots cause subterranean pipe damage requiring repairs that exceed routine maintenance costs. Because the total financial burden will increase rather than decrease, this fact directly invalidates the city council's conclusion.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Deconstruct the argument structure
Premise: Native shrubs absorb 40 percent more groundwater during storms than non-native turf. Conclusion: Replacing turf with native shrubs will lower municipal stormwater drainage maintenance costs over the next decade.
Identifying the premise-to-conclusion link isolates the core assumption: that reducing runoff volume is the sole factor determining overall drainage maintenance costs.
2
Identify the unstated assumption and logical vulnerability
The argument assumes that planting native shrubs will not create new, unexpected costs that outweigh the maintenance savings from reduced storm runoff.
In plan-to-goal feasibility arguments, a common vulnerability is an unconsidered negative side effect that prevents the goal (cost savings) from being realized.
3
Evaluate options for information that undermines the assumption
The option describing root intrusion into underground drainage pipes shows that the shrubs cause severe pipe blockages, generating repair expenses greater than the original maintenance budget.
Demonstrating that the plan creates higher maintenance costs directly shatters the conclusion that overall maintenance spending will decrease.

Anahtar Kavram

Evaluating Plan Feasibility and Unintended Side Effects in Causal Arguments
Soru 19Soru

A local coffee shop recently introduced a loyalty reward card system, offering customers a free drink after every ten drinks purchased. Since introducing the card system three months ago, the coffee shop's overall sales volume has increased by 15 percent. The shop owner concludes that the new loyalty reward card system is directly responsible for this increase in sales.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the shop owner's conclusion?

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Cevap: Two months ago, a major corporate office building directly across the street opened, bringing thousands of new employees to the block daily.

Cevap

The argument is most weakened by the finding that a major corporate office building directly across the street opened two months ago, bringing thousands of new employees to the block daily.
The argument commits a classic correlation-to-causation leap, assuming that because sales increased after the loyalty card was introduced, the loyalty card must have caused the increase. Pointing out that a major office complex opened across the street provides a strong alternative explanation for the increased sales volume, thereby undermining the conclusion that the loyalty card was the primary cause.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion and premises
Premise: Sales increased 15% after introducing loyalty cards. Conclusion: The loyalty card system caused the sales increase.
Understanding the precise causal claim is essential for evaluating weaken questions.
2
Determine the unstated assumption
The author assumes no other major factor occurred at the same time that could account for the 15% increase in sales.
Causal arguments rely on the assumption that correlation implies causation and that alternative causes are absent.
3
Evaluate the choices for an alternative cause
The opening of a large office complex nearby provides a clear alternative explanation for why coffee sales surged during that period.
Presenting an plausible alternative cause directly casts doubt on the claim that the loyalty card was responsible.

Anahtar Kavram

Alternative Explanation in Causal Reasoning
Soru 20Soru

A hospital recently introduced an automated ultraviolet-light room sanitation system intended to lower patient infection rates. During the six months following the system's installation, the hospital reported a 30 percent drop in patient infection rates compared to the previous six-month period. Hospital administrators concluded that the ultraviolet sanitation system was directly responsible for the reduction in patient infections. Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the hospital administrators' conclusion?

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Cevap: Three months prior to installing the system, the hospital implemented a strict hand-hygiene protocol and staff training program that significantly reduced bacterial transmission.

Cevap

The statement regarding the implementation of a strict hand-hygiene protocol and staff training program three months prior to the installation of the ultraviolet system most seriously weakens the argument.
The correct answer provides an alternative explanation for the observed 30 percent decline in patient infections. If a comprehensive hand-hygiene protocol was instituted three months before the UV system was installed, that hygiene initiative could be the real reason infection rates decreased, thereby undermining the conclusion that the UV system was the primary cause.

Adım Adım Çözüm

1
Identify the conclusion and premises
Premise: Infections dropped by 30% after installing a UV sanitation system. Conclusion: The UV system caused the reduction in infections.
Understanding the precise causal claim is essential for evaluating argument weakness.
2
Analyze the logical gap
The argument assumes no other factor caused the infection rate decline during the relevant timeframe.
Causal conclusions rely on the assumption that alternative causes have been ruled out.
3
Evaluate the choices for alternative explanations
The option introducing a newly enforced hand-hygiene protocol provides a competing explanation for the drop in infection rates.
Introducing a viable alternative cause directly undermines the claim that the UV system was responsible.

Anahtar Kavram

Weakening Causal Arguments via Alternative Causes
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Weakening Arguments Alıştırma Soruları — GMAT | Examkin